MLB

Angels vs Mets

Expect Citi Field to echo as Queens keeps its groove.

Los Angeles Angels

Angels (48-50) VS Mets (55-44)

21 Jul 2025 | 7:10 PM ET | Citi Field, Queens NY

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-190): A-

New York brings strong momentum into this matchup, riding a multi-game win streak and buoyed by elite defensive play and timely hitting. Their opponent, meanwhile, is reeling from a key lineup absence and lacks consistent firepower beyond the middle of the order. The Mets have a distinct edge on the mound, turning to a rested starter who thrives in interleague play, particularly against left-handed hitters—a key factor against a lineup missing its core. On the other side, Los Angeles sends out a starter with poor recent numbers at Citi Field, a venue that hasn’t been kind to him. With the Wild Card race heating up, New York appears locked in both tactically and emotionally, and their back-end bullpen strength gives them late-game insurance.

The pick here is a straight bet on the Mets to win. The prediction leans heavily on starting pitching form, bullpen reliability, and offensive consistency, all tilting toward the home team. Even at a moderate price, the bet offers value given New York’s form and the opponent’s weakened roster. It’s a high-probability play with a fair return for bettors seeking a solid angle on a team hitting its stride.

This prediction gets an A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:19am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-120): B+

Citi Field sets the stage for a tightly contested matchup between two Wild Card hopefuls, with pitching depth and situational management likely to decide the outcome. Los Angeles turns to its ace, whose sharpened off-speed arsenal has recently found form, while New York counters with a starter who leans heavily on ground-ball contact to navigate innings. Both teams come in with recent swings in form, but injuries and cautious workloads continue to influence how each club deploys its arms. With New York still missing its top starter and Los Angeles easing a key bat back into the lineup, explosive offense seems unlikely. Add in a ballpark known for dampening power, and the conditions clearly support the arms.

The pick here is the Under on 8.5 runs, a bet supported by pitching trends, park factors, and playoff-like intensity on both benches. The prediction anticipates aggressive bullpen usage and a slow offensive pace as each team prioritizes run prevention in a game with postseason implications. While not a sure thing, the matchup projects as a tightly wound, low-scoring affair that keeps run totals in check.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:21am

Spread Pick - Los Angeles Angels, +1.5 (-130): B

The Angels arrive in Queens with momentum and a fresh bullpen, positioning themselves well against a Mets squad that’s dropped two straight and continues to battle key rotation absences. With their ace sidelined, New York turns to a rookie southpaw, putting added strain on a bullpen that’s already been stretched in recent outings. On the flip side, Los Angeles benefits from the recent return of their star outfielder, even if he’s not yet at full speed, and the back end of their pitching staff has quietly been locking down late-inning situations. The Mets, under mounting Wild Card pressure, face a tricky matchup here, especially with some key bats struggling in specific left-on-left splits. Given the context, this one shapes up as a close, methodical contest where the margins matter.

The pick is Los Angeles on the run line (+1.5), and the bet leans into the likelihood of a low-scoring, tightly managed game. The prediction factors in bullpen freshness, starter uncertainty, and playoff-race tension that typically keeps managers quick on the hook. With only minor juice attached to the insurance, this is a solid value play in a game that may come down to a single swing.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:23am

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