MLB

Royals vs Cubs

Southpaw mastery could keep the Wrigley faithful roaring

Kansas City Royals

Royals (48-52) VS Cubs (59-40)

Jul 22, 2025 | 8:05 p.m. ET | Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-267): B

Chicago enters this matchup with momentum and playoff positioning on the line, backed by a rested rotation arm and a bullpen that’s held up well in recent weeks. The Royals, meanwhile, are in a tougher spot, missing a key starter and turning to a relief corps that’s shown signs of strain. Kansas City’s offense still features a few dangerous bats, but the surrounding lineup has cooled since the break, making it harder to sustain rallies. With one team rising and the other slipping, the home-field advantage and current form tilt this matchup toward the North Side.

The pick is Chicago on the moneyline, a prediction driven by consistency, roster health, and the urgency that comes with postseason positioning. The bet isn’t flashy in terms of payout, but the matchup gives the Cubs a clear edge, especially with their strong home record and deeper lineup support. It's a play rooted in reliability rather than risk, making it a solid option on a day with tighter margins.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:50am

Over/Under Pick - Over 9, (+100): Grade B

Chicago heads into this matchup playing with confidence, fueled by a recent win streak and a lineup that’s produced consistently in favorable matchups. Kansas City, on the other hand, arrives searching for a spark and leaning on a few core bats to carry the offense, especially with depth pieces sidelined. Both starters bring some pedigree, but conditions at Wrigley and bullpen fatigue on the visiting side suggest that run prevention may slip as the game progresses. With both teams still fighting for postseason position in different ways, expect aggressive offensive strategies to dominate late.

The pick is the over on the total, a prediction driven by hot bats, bullpen uncertainty, and a game setting that historically favors scoring, especially in warmer conditions. The bet carries value given the mix of starting talent and late-game volatility, and it leans into the likelihood of each team pushing to manufacture runs with the playoff race tightening. It’s the kind of spot where even a clean start from the mound won’t necessarily keep the final total in check.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:52am

Spread Pick - Kansas City Royals, +1.5 (-105): B+

Kansas City heads into Wrigley looking to snap a rough patch, and while the Cubs are rolling with playoff energy, their current pitching depth is being tested. With key arms unavailable, Chicago is leaning on less experienced bullpen pieces in high-leverage spots—an opening a hungry Royals squad could exploit. Even without their veteran catcher, Kansas City still has pop in the order and will likely press every edge with their postseason hopes fading. Chicago remains dangerous at the plate, but recent form from core hitters has cooled slightly, and tonight’s conditions don’t favor a slugfest.

The pick is Royals +1.5, a prediction rooted in pitching availability, situational urgency, and matchup value. The bet leans toward a tighter game than the odds suggest, with Kansas City bringing enough offense and motivation to keep things close. While the Cubs are clearly capable of pulling away, their current roster situation levels the field just enough to make the spread worth backing.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:54am

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