MLB

Kansas City vs Chicago

North Side stays hot while visitors search for late-July spark

Kansas City Royals

Royals (47-52) VS Cubs (59-39)

21 Jul 2025 | 9:05 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick ‑ Chicago Cubs (-145): B

Chicago enters this matchup in strong form, buoyed by consistent pitching and timely hitting that have propelled a recent surge. Their starter has returned to top-level command, and he faces a Kansas City team that’s struggled to generate offense without one of its key veterans. The Royals’ recent dip in production, combined with multiple lineup question marks, limits their ceiling in what’s shaping up to be a challenging matchup. On the other side, the Cubs' bats have handled left-handed pitching well since the break, and their bullpen has quietly become one of the most reliable in the league over the past few weeks. With the postseason race heating up, the difference in urgency between these two clubs is beginning to show.

The pick is Chicago on the moneyline, a bet grounded in recent trends, matchup data, and comparative depth. The prediction leans on the Cubs’ ability to stay aggressive at the plate and lock things down late with a bullpen in peak form. Even at a modest price, there’s enough consistency across all phases to justify the action.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:44am

Over/Under Pick - Over 8 (-115): B

Chicago and Kansas City meet in a matchup that’s likely to tilt toward offense, as both clubs continue to lean heavily on their lineups during the dog days of summer. The Cubs have been clicking at the plate during a recent hot stretch, putting up impressive run totals against a mix of competition. Kansas City, despite recent losses and injury absences, has kept its scoring respectable in July and remains dangerous against left-handed pitching. Both starters come into this one with exploitable splits, and neither bullpen is especially fresh or dominant after recent workloads. With both teams beyond the halfway point and jockeying for postseason relevance, managers may prioritize aggressive offense over extended starter leashes.

The pick is the Over on a total of 8 runs, a bet that leans on two capable offenses facing beatable arms and short-rest bullpens. The prediction reflects an expectation for early scoring chances and a game that remains open into the late innings, with both sides looking to outslug rather than outlast. It’s a strong situational play as the schedule tightens and every run begins to matter more.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:46am

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, -1.5 (-150): B+

Chicago’s bats look set to blow the run line over. The Cubs return home riding a six-game heater and face a Royals team that’s dropped four straight and is missing key offensive pieces. With a lineup already thinned by injury and their rotation forced to shuffle, Kansas City looks vulnerable against a Chicago offense that profiles well in this matchup. The Cubs have consistently handled left-handed pitching, and their power threats have delivered in prior meetings against this staff. On the mound, Chicago turns to a steady arm returning from a brief layoff, backed by one of the league’s most effective bullpens—an important factor when protecting multi-run leads late.

The pick is Chicago on the run line (-1.5), a bet that banks on sustained offensive production and pitching depth. The prediction favors a motivated home side with clear statistical and situational advantages, especially given their current form and divisional implications. While the price is steep, the value is solid considering how the matchup sets up.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 21/07/2025 at 10:48am

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