MLB

Astros vs Mariners

Slumping Stros face rough seas in T-Mobile clash

Houston Astros

Astros (4-5) VS Mariners (3-7)

April 07, 2025 | 9:40 PM ET | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Seattle Mariners
Moneyline Pick: Seattle Mariners (-170) - Grade: B-

Coming off a challenging road trip, the Houston Astros—perennial contenders from the Lone Star State—have lost two of their last three games, bringing their record to 4-5. They've struggled to generate consistent offense early in this young season. Meanwhile, the Seattle Mariners, despite a 3-7 start, have shown flashes of dominance at home. Logan Gilbert, who is expected to start Monday night, has a career ERA of 1.55 against Houston. The Astros may be without Yordan Álvarez, who is listed as day-to-day with a hamstring tweak, which could spell more trouble against a Mariners staff that ranks in the top 10 in strikeouts through the first week. On the other side, Hayden Wesneski will take the mound for Houston, making his first start of the season since being acquired from the Cubs. Seattle’s offense, led by Julio Rodríguez and a suddenly hot Cal Raleigh (5 HR in the last 5 games), has the potential to capitalize on Houston’s shaky bullpen. The Mariners might not be dominating opponents, but at home, in a bounce-back spot against an Astros squad still searching for consistency, they deserve the edge. Given the -170 odds, the expected payout isn’t glamorous, but the matchup leans their way. This pick earns a B- due to decent confidence in the outcome but limited payout potential. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Over 7, (-110) - Grade B

Coming off back-to-back losses, the Seattle Mariners are searching for momentum, and they’ll send Logan Gilbert to the mound hoping to stifle Houston's lineup. The Astros—also on a two-game skid—have shown signs of life offensively despite their 4-5 start, with Yordan Álvarez heating up after a slow opener. Seattle's bullpen, including closer Andrés Muñoz, has been inconsistent early this season, and Gilbert hasn’t dominated Houston historically, holding a 4.10 ERA in four career starts against them. On the other side, it’s Hayden Wesneski, not Framber Valdez, getting the ball for the Astros in his first start with Houston after being acquired from the Cubs. While the Mariners’ bats have struggled early, Julio Rodríguez and Cal Raleigh tend to perform well against right-handers like Wesneski, especially at home. With both squads trying to snap two-game skids and struggling to find pitching consistency, runs could come easier than expected. The 7-run total feels modest, and given both bullpens' early-season woes and clutch bats just starting to warm up, this matchup leans toward a higher-scoring affair. While it's too early for serious playoff implications, steady offensive trends and bullpen vulnerabilities justify the Over here. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Mariners, -1.5 (-140) - Grade: B-

Coming off back-to-back losses, the Seattle Mariners are searching for momentum, and they’ll send Logan Gilbert to the mound hoping to stifle Houston's lineup. The Astros—also on a two-game skid—have shown signs of life offensively despite their 4-5 start, with Yordan Álvarez heating up after a slow opener. Seattle's bullpen, including closer Andrés Muñoz, has been inconsistent early this season, and Gilbert hasn’t dominated Houston historically, holding a 4.10 ERA in four career starts against them. On the other side, Hayden Wesneski gets the ball for the Astros, making his first start since being acquired from the Cubs. While the Mariners’ bats have struggled early, Julio Rodríguez and a suddenly hot Cal Raleigh (5 HR in the last 5 games) have the potential to capitalize on Houston’s pitching. With both squads trying to snap two-game skids and struggling to find pitching consistency, runs could come easier than expected. The 7-run total feels modest, and given both bullpens' early-season woes and clutch bats just starting to warm up, this matchup leans toward a higher-scoring affair. While it's too early for serious playoff implications, steady offensive trends and bullpen vulnerabilities justify the Over here. Odds and availability are subject to change.​ Odds and availability are subject to change.

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