MLB

Astros vs Pirates

Can the hot Houston bats stay scorching by the Three Rivers?

Houston Astros

Astros (33-27) VS Pirates (22-39)

Jun 05, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Houston Astros (-165): B+

Houston enters this matchup on solid form while Pittsburgh has struggled, losing three of its last five contests. The Pirates remain hampered by key injuries on both sides of the ball, while Houston arrives with a healthier roster and more lineup stability. On the mound, this game features a matchup between two veteran pitchers, but Houston’s offense profiles well against the opposing starter’s fastball-heavy arsenal.

With a rested bullpen following a day off and a Pirates team that ranks near the bottom of the league in home run differential, Houston’s edge becomes even more pronounced. Despite the price, the combination of form, roster health, and offensive matchup offers enough value to justify backing Houston at -165. The play earns a B+ grade for balancing probability with reasonable risk.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/06/2025 09:49

Over/Under Pick - Over 7.5, (-110): B

Houston enters this matchup on a good run of form, while Pittsburgh has been playing .500 ball recently, setting the stage for a compelling contest at PNC Park. The Astros will send a seasoned left-hander to the mound, known for his ability to induce ground balls and control the game's tempo. Opposing him is a veteran right-hander for the Pirates, who has had a great pitching season, despite the W/L record. While the Astros' starter has a history of effectiveness, recent outings have seen him allow multiple runs, suggesting potential vulnerabilities.

Given the Astros' recent offensive momentum and the Pirates' struggles, there's potential for a higher-scoring affair. Both teams have lineups capable of capitalizing on pitching missteps, and with the game taking place in the hitter-friendly confines of PNC Park, the over on the total runs line presents a viable betting option. Considering these factors, taking the over earns a B grade for its balance of probability and value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/06/2025 09:50

Spread Pick - Houston Astros, -1.5 (-105): B

Houston enters Thursday’s matchup with some momentum, while Pittsburgh comes in having dropped three of their last five games. The pitching matchup sets up favorably for the visitors, with their veteran starter returning in strong form and their bullpen maintaining excellent recent numbers, holding a n elite over the last ten outings. Pittsburgh counters with a starter who’s performed reasonably well but hasn’t translated his outings into many wins, while their bullpen has struggled to hold leads late.

With Pittsburgh’s lineup shorthanded due to ongoing injuries and their late-inning relief continuing to falter, the edge tilts further toward Houston. The combination of recent momentum, a more stable bullpen, and the visitor’s lineup depth makes the run-line play attractive even at a slightly juiced price. This matchup earns a B grade for providing reliable value on the visitors covering the extra run.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/06/2025 09:50

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