MLB

Astros vs Pirates

Galaxy of bats meets Steel City grit—only one cashes in

Houston Astros

Astros (32-27) VS Pirates (22-38)

June 04, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Houston Astros (-140): B

The Astros enter this matchup on a strong run, having won seven of their last ten, while the Pirates look to snap out of a two-game skid. Houston benefits from a relatively healthy lineup, aside from one reserve absence, and gets a boost with a key bat returning from a short rest. Their starter has yet to face the Pirates in his career, but has been putting up some fairly average numbers this season, so is in a decent spot to face them. On the mound for the Pirates is a rookie right-hander who has recently struggled with home run prevention, a concern against Houston’s potent offense.

Given these contrasting trends, the Astros are justifiably favored on the road at –140. The combination of their recent form, lineup depth, and starting pitching advantage positions them well to continue their winning ways, especially with Pittsburgh's recent struggles and bullpen concerns.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/06/2025 09:40

Over/Under Pick - Under 9, (-110): B+

The Astros enter this matchup swinging hot bats after averaging 5.1 runs in their last ten games. And they'll be facing a struggling rookie with an ERA at home north of 7.00, granted he has only had 2 starts this season, one home and one away. On the other side, the Pirates continue to struggle offensively, dealing with key injuries and ranking near the bottom of the league in OPS since mid-May. Despite the Astros' starter having yet to face the Pirates in his career, there is reason to believe he can keep the Pirates' bats cold today.

Given the combination of Keller’s ability to suppress runs at home, Pittsburgh’s ongoing offensive struggles, and Valdez’s steady presence, this game sets up for a lower-scoring affair. The under on a total of nine runs offers a solid B-grade wager, blending strong pitching matchups and current team trends for value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/06/2025 09:40

Spread Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates, +1.5 (-135): B

The Pittsburgh Pirates aim to build some positive momentum as they face the Houston Astros, who have won seven of their last ten games. Pittsburgh's starting pitcher has been struggling at the major league level this season, there's no two ways about this, while Houston's starter recently showcased exceptional efficiency in April, but had a rather poor May, racking up an ERA over 8.00. As well, the Astros' bullpen has shown signs of vulnerability, particularly during a series against the Rays where they surrendered a significant number of runs. Compounding Houston's challenges are injuries to key players, affecting their lineup depth and offensive consistency.

Given these dynamics, Pittsburgh appears to have an edge, especially if the game extends into the later innings where bullpen performance becomes critical. While Houston's starting pitcher can keep the game competitive early on, the Pirates' recent form and the Astros' bullpen struggles suggest that Pittsburgh could capitalize as the game progresses.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/06/2025 09:41

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