NHL

Panthers vs Maple Leafs

“South Florida claws look sharper than Ontario’s steel tonight.”

Florida Panthers

Panthers (47-31-4) VS Maple Leafs (52-26-4)

May 7 2025 | 6:00 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline Pick - Florida Panthers (-140): A-

After securing the early series edge with a road win, Florida returns to the same ice with confidence and continuity on their side. Their balanced scoring, blue-line health, and calm goaltending give them a clear identity—especially important when playoff nerves start tightening Game 2s. Toronto, meanwhile, faces mounting urgency, but their lineup still isn’t fully intact, particularly on defense. If the Maple Leafs can’t clean up special-teams breakdowns or find early scoring against Florida’s structured zone coverage, the pressure will only compound.

From a betting angle, you’re not getting steep underdog value on the Panthers anymore, but the matchup metrics still point their way. The road team’s ability to control pace and win net-front battles gives them the edge again, and unless Toronto finds a fast start or sparks their power play, Florida looks poised to grind out another result. Call this one a “B” grade—not cheap chalk, but still the sharper side.

Over/Under Pick - Over 5.5, (-115): B+

Florida and Toronto enter Game 2 with plenty on the line and plenty of firepower to show for it. Both squads boast top-tier power plays and are missing key names on the blue line, making defensive perfection unlikely. Florida’s structure starts in net, but cracks have appeared against high-pace transitions, while Toronto’s offensive core has kept pace despite gaps in their top-pair personnel. With playoff intensity dialed up and both sides looking to avoid falling into a tactical slog, early chances and man-advantage minutes should swing momentum—and boost the scoreboard.

This isn’t a matchup where defense is expected to dominate. With both benches still juggling depth minutes and the stars expected to log heavy ice time, the Over feels like the smart side. It’s not a runaway pick—goaltending could always flip a script—but the odds and trends support a high-event evening. Grade it a confident “B.”

Puckline Pick - Toronto Maple Leafs, -1.5 (-225): B

Toronto enters Game 2 riding a strong wave of momentum, having strung together multiple wins behind efficient scoring and improving health across the lineup. Their top offensive weapons remain active, and with their defensive anchor logging full minutes again, the Leafs look positioned to exploit a Florida team still navigating lineup gaps. The Panthers remain dangerous but are missing key contributors on both ends of the ice, forcing heavy workloads on their top line and exposing vulnerabilities in transition—areas Toronto has recently excelled in exploiting.

Even if Florida brings more pushback than in Game 1, the edge still leans blue and white. With the home crowd behind them, a favorable matchup history, and the deeper lineup in current form, backing the Leafs on the puckline makes sense. The odds aren’t a steal, but for bettors leaning into momentum and matchup trends, the two-goal cushion feels realistic. Grade: B—dependable value with a measured level of risk.

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