MLB

Tigers vs Astros

High-flying cats look to claw past a depleted space crew.

Detroit Tigers

Tigers (18-11) VS Astros (15-13)

30 Apr 2025 | 2:10 p.m. ET | Comerica Park, Detroit

Houston Astros
Moneyline Pick - Detroit Tigers (+105): B+

The Tigers, winners of three of their last five, enter this matchup with momentum and a rested bullpen, while the Astros come in winning three consecutive games but are dealing with key absences in the lineup and bullpen. Detroit sends a surging righty to the mound, whose past performances suggest a solid track record against Houston’s core hitters. On the other side, Houston's starter is making their MLB Debut, and has been a serviceable arm in the minors but hasn't really set the world on fire so the matchup into Detroit's lineup could be an interesting one.

It feels like Detroit has the right mix of form and pitching stability to make this one interesting—especially as an underdog. Houston just doesn’t look like itself right now, and with value on the plus-money side, the Tigers are worth a look in this spot.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/04/2025 09:40

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5, (-110): B

Detroit’s strong start to the season continues as the 18-12 club looks to stay hot against a Houston team that has won three of its last four but is still juggling pieces in the starting rotation. With injuries affecting both rosters and offensive production trending down, this matchup leans on two starters who have historically performed well in this head-to-head. Each bullpen ranks among the league’s best in WHIP, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring contest that could be decided in the late innings.

Considering the recent scoring droughts on both sides and the quality of arms expected to take the mound, the under presents solid value. It’s not a bet that relies on perfection—just competence from both starters and clean bullpen work. At current odds, the play earns a B-grade, offering smart potential without excessive risk.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/04/2025 09:40

Spread Pick - Detroit Tigers, +1.5 (-195): B-

Detroit’s recent great form faces a Houston squad in their groove, and the pitching matchup leans in the Tigers’ favor. Their starter has historically handled Houston well, which helps minimize the threat from the heart of the Astros’ lineup. With Detroit’s bullpen ranking near the top of the American League in WHIP, the Tigers are well-positioned to hold leads or stay close late. Meanwhile, Houston continues to shuffle its rotation, and their starter’s uneven track record at Comerica adds to the uncertainty.

Even with Detroit missing some key contributors, their offensive core has done just enough against Houston’s projected arm to keep things tight. Taking the +1.5 run line here makes sense—even at a slightly higher price—because the value lies in the Tigers keeping it close, not necessarily winning outright. It’s a pragmatic play that gets a B- grade for being steady but not flashy.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/04/2025 09:40

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks