MLB

Tigers vs Orioles

Storm-chasing Tigers look to clip struggling Birds in Camden Yards

Detroit Tigers

Tigers (44-24) VS Orioles (26-39)

Jun 12, 2025 | 6:35 p.m. ET | Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles
Moneyline Pick - Detroit Tigers (-190): B

The Tigers enter this matchup with a strong recent performances, having won six of their last four games and maintaining a solid standing in the AL Central. Their starting pitcher continues to demonstrate dominance on the mound, contributing to the team's success. The Orioles, on the other hand, have faced challenges, including a recent managerial change and struggles both offensively and defensively. Their bullpen has been tested, and the absence of key players has impacted their performance. Given these factors, the Tigers appear to have the upper hand in this contest.

Looking at the broader picture, the Tigers' momentum and stability contrast with the Orioles' recent turbulence. While Baltimore has the advantage of playing at home, Detroit's consistent play and effective pitching make them a formidable opponent. For bettors, the moneyline may not offer significant returns, but the probability of a Tigers win is high, making it a reasonable choice for those seeking a safer bet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/06/2025 09:41

Over/Under Pick - Under 8 (-110): B+

Detroit enters this matchup on a good run of form, while Baltimore has seemingly starter to rebound from their awful start, setting the stage for a compelling pitching duel. The Tigers' starter boasts elite numbers, nearly leading the American League in WHIP and ranking among the top in ERA and strikeouts. Baltimore counters with a pitcher holding fairly league average numbers, but has been incredible at home this season. However, the Orioles are hampered by the absence of key players, including a power-hitting first baseman sidelined with a hamstring injury. Weather forecasts predict humid but cooler conditions, which could suppress offensive output. Additionally, both teams are playing their seventh game in six days, likely prompting managers to be cautious with bullpen usage. These factors suggest a low-scoring affair, making the under on a total of eight runs an appealing bet.

This game has all the makings of a classic pitcher's duel. With both teams' bullpens ranking among the top in WHIP and the Tigers' starter in Cy Young form, runs could be at a premium. The Orioles' recent struggles and injury woes further tilt the scales. Considering the weather and the teams' fatigue, the under seems like a solid play.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/06/2025 09:42

Spread Pick - Detroit Tigers, -1.5 (-110): B+

The Tigers, boasting a 44-25 record and leading the AL Central, are riding a good run of form as they face the Orioles, who have started to look like the Orioles of last season but have a record of 27-39 and sit last in the AL East. Detroit's rotation remains largely intact, while Baltimore continues to grapple with the absence of key pitchers, including their closer. The Tigers' bullpen has been particularly effective, converting 13 consecutive save opportunities, highlighting their ability to secure leads late in games. In contrast, the Orioles' bullpen has struggled, ranking 25th in ERA and 27th in WHIP, indicating challenges in maintaining competitiveness in the latter innings.

Given the current trajectories of both teams, backing Detroit on the run line seems a prudent choice. The Tigers' consistent performance and bullpen reliability suggest they can maintain a lead and potentially extend it, even if the game remains close in the early stages. While the Orioles have the advantage of playing at home, their recent form and bullpen issues may hinder their ability to capitalize on this. Therefore, laying the run and a half with Detroit carries a B+ grade for both likelihood and value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/06/2025 09:42

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks