NBA

Nuggets vs Kings

Mile High momentum puts these Kings a mile behind

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets (47-32) VS Sacramento Kings (39-40)

April 09, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Sacramento Kings
Moneyline Pick: Denver Nuggets (-165) - Grade: B+

Winners of their last three games, the Sacramento Kings return home with the play-in coming up, but hosting the reigning champs may be more of a nightmare than a lifeline. The Denver Nuggets, currently on a 4-game losing skid, come in looking to re-establish their rhythm again just in time for the postseason push. With Jamal Murray looking to get back into the action tonight (Game Time Decision), and Nikola Jokić continuing to dazzle with triple-double averages, the Rocky Mountain crew hoping to hit its peak again. The Kings, meanwhile, enter this bout with Malik Monk still sidelined, robbing them of key offensive depth. Sacramento has lost all three games to Denver this season and with seeding motivation on their side and much more at stake, expect Denver to lean into their elite two-man game and catch the Beam Team on a downtrend. This Moneyline pick earns a solid B+—moderate payout at -165 but strong confidence based on form, health, and playoff urgency. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 234.5 (-110) - Grade: B-

Denver’s MVP machine Nikola Jokić continues to deliver dazzling offensive performances, but the Mile High crew has stumbled slightly down the stretch, losing their last four games. Meanwhile, the Kings have been looking more true to their past strong form in recent games. The Beam Team may not be able to keep pace in high-scoring fashion. Jamal Murray has historically shredded the Kings, but Denver's recent focus has leaned more toward controlled tempo heading into the postseason; as they’ve secured a playoff berth, the Nuggets game managers may lean into managing minutes. The Kings, still in the play-in race, will likely claw for points but could stall if Domantas Sabonis struggles against Jokić, who’s handled him well in previous matchups. Despite some high scoring affairs in their recent matchups, there’s a strong chance they hit the under in what could turn into a half-court grind, especially if either team tightens rotations defensively. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Nuggets, -3.5 (-110) - Grade: B-

April 09, 2025 | 22:00 | Sacramento, CA

Jamal Murray and the surging Nuggets return to the Mile High City fighting against a four-game losing streak and clinging to playoff positioning in the crowded Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, the slumping Sacramento Kings have looked strong in recent games and looked back in rhythm, especially with Malik Monk still nursing an ankle sprain. Denver, currently 47-32, has been leaning heavily on reigning MVP Nikola Jokić, who historically carves up the Kings’ frontcourt — he’s averaged 26.1 points, 11.7 boards, and 9.2 assists in his last ten games against Sacramento. The Beam Team, now under .500, will lean on their back court to keep them competitive, but recent efficiency woes from both the floor and charity stripe are concerning. With the Kings still chasing play-in positioning and the Nuggets aiming to secure home court, expect Denver to put their foot down early. While the spread at -3.5 feels tight, Denver’s solid 22-17 awayrecord and health advantage give them the edge. This isn’t a guaranteed slam dunk, but the value and matchup history tilt in the Nuggets’ favor tonight.  

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/04/2025 04:21

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