Rockies vs Cardinals
Can St. Louis keep its playoff chase alive against MLB’s worst?

Rockies (30-87) VS Cardinals (60-59)
Aug 12, 2025 | 7:45 p.m. ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis


St. Louis returns home in strong form, holding clear advantages both on the mound and in the bullpen against a Colorado team struggling on the road. Their starter has been reliable at Busch Stadium, while the Rockies’ probable arm has been far less effective away from Coors Field. Colorado is also missing key contributors due to injury, further thinning a roster already battling through an extended skid. The bullpen disparity adds another layer to the matchup, giving the Cardinals a late-game edge that could secure the result.
From a betting perspective, the pick leans solidly toward St. Louis, with both recent performance and season-long splits favoring the home side. The combination of pitching stability, roster health, and postseason motivation outweighs the heavier price. In this spot, the juice is justified by the Cardinals’ across-the-board advantages.
This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/08/2025 at 10:20am
Offensive conditions look favorable at Busch Stadium, with the visiting starter prone to hard contact and warm, humid weather aiding carry. St. Louis has been producing runs consistently at home, and Colorado, despite missing a key bat, has shown it can generate late offense, particularly against right-handed fastballs. Both bullpens carry vulnerabilities, with high ERAs and below-average strand rates from their leverage arms, leaving room for scoring deep into the game.
From a betting perspective, the Over is the pick that aligns with the hitting trends, pitching profiles, and environmental factors. The likelihood of mid- to late-inning scoring spikes makes this a strong spot for the total to clear, especially given recent tendencies at this park. The matchup supports a game where both sides contribute to pushing the scoreboard higher.
This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/08/2025 at 10:22am
St. Louis enters this matchup with strong situational indicators, bolstered by consistent performance in favorable pitching matchups and a reliable bullpen presence. The team’s track record against Colorado suggests value, particularly in games featuring this specific mound pairing. Historical ATS success in these scenarios supports the case, while the opponent’s struggles as a significant road underdog further strengthen the argument. However, Colorado’s ability to generate late-game offense and maintain competitive spreads tempers the overall confidence in the outcome. These dynamics point toward potential scoring upside but also warrant measured expectations.
From a betting standpoint, this pick balances statistical advantage with awareness of situational risk. The prediction leans toward St. Louis delivering in key moments, yet it acknowledges the opponent’s capacity to create late pressure. For bettors, it’s an appealing angle that blends historical performance trends with current roster stability, making it worth consideration. The bet feels justified but not without caveats—there’s enough evidence to support it, but it’s not the kind of matchup to treat as a lock. Ultimately, it’s a smart, calculated play that respects both sides’ tendencies and game flow potential.
This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/08/2025 at 10:24am
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