MLB

Rockies vs Pirates

Sinking Rox meet surging Bucs—value hides beneath PNC’s skyline.

Colorado Rockies

Rockies (37-90) VS Pirates (54-74)

22 Aug 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates (-190): B

Pittsburgh’s recent momentum has been fueled by strong pitching depth and a bullpen that continues to deliver in the late innings. Their ability to suppress runs at home gives them an edge against a Colorado squad that has consistently struggled away from Coors Field. The Rockies’ road inefficiency, combined with a lineup that has lacked consistent power this month, sets up a difficult matchup against a team that has controlled this head-to-head series in 2025. With Pittsburgh’s relief staff stabilizing games in the later frames, the value leans toward the home side in this spot, even if the overall playoff picture remains uncertain. This makes the pick to back Pittsburgh a calculated one, especially given the gap in recent efficiency between the two clubs.

From a betting perspective, Pittsburgh stands out as the safer choice despite the heavier price. Colorado’s inability to generate consistent offense on the road leaves little margin for error, and the Pirates’ balanced approach on both sides of the ball should tilt the matchup in their favor. For anyone looking at this bet, Pittsburgh feels like the sharper play given the circumstances. The prediction leans toward the Pirates controlling this contest, making them a trustworthy pick to cover the number at home.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/08/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-115): B+

Colorado’s rotation has settled with steadier outings lately, while Pittsburgh’s arms have been particularly sharp at home. At the same time, neither lineup has shown much consistency in generating offense, especially when facing solid right-handed pitching. Add in the fact that both clubs tend to keep traffic off the bases, and this matchup looks more like one that tilts toward controlled, lower-scoring baseball rather than a breakout display of runs. That balance of pitching stability and offensive limitations makes the Under the stronger prediction here compared to picking a side.

From a betting angle, the conditions support a slower pace with limited scoring chances. Neither team has been especially reliable in turning opportunities into crooked numbers, and the overall trends lean away from a run-heavy game. Instead of trying to anticipate a winner, the safer pick is to trust in both pitching staffs and fading the bats. That approach makes the Under the more confident bet for this matchup.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/08/2025 at 9:02am

Spread Pick - Colorado Rockies, +1.5 (-130): B

Colorado has been a steady performer against the spread when catching an extra run and a half, and their track record in that role makes them a worthwhile consideration here. Pittsburgh’s offense has been modest at home, and the lack of consistent punch has limited their ability to put games out of reach. When combined with a roster that leans heavily on starting pitching before turning to an inconsistent bench, the setup creates openings for tighter margins rather than blowouts. That dynamic puts added value on Colorado keeping things close, even if winning outright remains a tougher ask.

From a betting standpoint, grabbing the cushion on the underdog feels like the smarter angle than trusting Pittsburgh to separate late. The Pirates may control stretches of play, but their lineup has struggled to consistently generate multi-run victories, and that leaves room for Colorado to sneak inside the number. While backing them on the moneyline may be risky, taking the extra run and a half looks like the sharper pick given how these two teams typically play out close games.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/08/2025 at 9:04am

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