NHL

Avalanche vs Stars

Dallas’s skid meets Colorado’s surge—altitude beats attitude in Big D

Colorado Avalanche

Avalanche (49-29-4) VS Stars (50-24-6)

19 Apr 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | American Airlines Center, Dallas

Dallas Stars
Moneyline Pick ‑ Colorado (-140): B+

Colorado heads into this divisional clash with strong momentum and a fully intact top line, while Dallas continues to stumble through a rough patch that’s exposed defensive depth and inconsistent goaltending. With no major changes to the Avs' lineup and their core clicking offensively, they’re well-positioned to take advantage of a Stars team still dealing with roster limitations and struggles in their own zone—especially on special teams. Though both teams are playoff-bound, the urgency gap is clear: Colorado still has something to chase in terms of home-ice, while Dallas has already locked in their seeding.

This matchup tilts toward the road side not just because of recent form, but also due to the stylistic edge—speed, transition play, and top-end finishing ability all lean toward the Avs. Dallas hasn’t found answers for those areas during its current slump, and the home-ice edge doesn’t do much to close the gap. At a manageable price, backing Colorado makes plenty of sense here.

Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (-110): B+

Colorado is well-positioned to clear the 6-goal mark tonight, thanks to their red-hot offense and a favorable matchup against a slumping Dallas team. The Avalanche have been pouring it on lately, averaging well over four goals per game during their recent road surge, and they’ll be facing a defensive unit that’s looked increasingly vulnerable. With Dallas dealing with injuries on the back end and inconsistent goaltending, Colorado’s speed and depth—particularly on special teams—should create plenty of high-danger opportunities. Add in the motivation factor, as the Avs are still chasing home-ice advantage, and this sets up as a prime spot for them to push the tempo and potentially light the lamp early and often. Backing Colorado to score over five goals offers solid upside in a game where they hold clear offensive and momentum edges.

Puckline Pick - Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-196): B

Colorado enters this key divisional matchup riding strong momentum, backed by a top line that continues to generate chances in bunches. Dallas, meanwhile, is dealing with some lineup uncertainty and hasn’t looked as sharp of late, especially in its defensive zone coverage. With both teams already playoff-bound but still jockeying for position, the visitors hold the edge in form, depth, and goaltending efficiency. Colorado’s ability to roll consistent pressure through all three zones gives them a clear path to exploit a Stars team that’s shown cracks when facing speed and sustained forecheck.

Despite the road setting, Colorado's recent success in this building and their knack for capitalizing on late-game opportunities—including empty-net insurance—makes them a strong play to cover the puckline. The motivation is there, the matchup lines up well, and the underlying trends suggest a team that’s not just coasting to the postseason, but pushing to peak at the right time. Back the road team to cover with room to spare.

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