MLB

Guardians vs Mets

Can Guardians crack Citi magic or will Mets keep streak alive?

Cleveland Guardians

Guardians (57-55) VS Mets (63-50)

Aug 06 2025 | 1:10 p.m. ET | Citi Field, Queens, NY

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-170): B-

New York comes into this matchup with home momentum, a stronger bullpen, and key pieces trending in the right direction, making them the more stable side in this matinee. While they’re still without one of their top arms, the return of their closer bolsters late-game confidence, and their offense has historically fared well in this spot. Cleveland continues to deal with rotation injuries and hasn’t performed well in this starter’s road appearances, adding to the appeal of backing the home side. The prediction leans toward the Mets as the more reliable pick.

From a betting standpoint, this is a calculated play—one that balances recent form, roster health, and situational edge. The price reflects some risk, but the home team’s structure and urgency offer enough upside to justify the bet.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 06/08/2025 at 10:02am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8, (-115): B

This matchup lines up well for a lower-scoring affair, with both starters in solid form and neither offense clicking consistently. Daytime conditions at Citi Field typically suppress scoring, and both bullpens have been sharp since the break, offering little margin for late-inning damage. With one lineup dealing with a key hitter battling through injury and both sides lacking recent pop, the Under makes for a strong prediction in what projects as a tightly played matinee.

From a betting standpoint, this is a play on rhythm and environment. Reliable pitching, cool conditions, and quiet bats all point in the same direction, making the Under a logical lean.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 06/08/2025 at 10:04am

Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-122): C+

New York’s offensive core provides enough firepower to justify a run line play, especially against a Cleveland bullpen that’s struggled to hold leads and lacks one of its key late-inning arms. With the Guardians’ lineup posting limited production against left-handed pitching on the road, the setup favors the Mets pulling away if their starter can deliver a solid outing. While Cleveland has been reliable against the spread overall, this particular matchup tilts toward the home side creating separation late.

From a betting angle, this is about trusting the Mets’ top-end contributors to do enough damage while their pitching keeps things manageable. The run line carries some risk, but the matchup offers the structure to support it.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 06/08/2025 at 10:06sm

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