NBA

Cavaliers vs Pacers

“Defense travels, and the Cavs are packing light tonight.”

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers (64-18) VS Pacers (50-32)

11 May 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Indiana Pacers
Moneyline Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers (-225): B

Cleveland enters this postseason tilt riding a strong run of form, with their backcourt fully operational and their defense ranking among the league’s best. Indiana, meanwhile, faces lingering concerns in the paint and has struggled to contain physical guards in recent matchups. The Cavaliers' length and defensive structure have historically limited Indiana’s spacing, forcing more isolation and contested mid-range looks.

Even with seeding already sorted, maintaining playoff rhythm remains a priority—especially for a Cleveland squad that’s found its stride at both ends. The price on the moneyline isn’t a bargain, but it reflects a clear edge in personnel, health, and recent matchup success. Chalk up a confident B-grade for the road favorite here.

Over/Under Pick - Over 230.5, (-110): B

Indiana’s up-tempo style continues to generate high shot volume, and their ability to stretch defenses at home makes this matchup particularly volatile. Cleveland brings elite offensive efficiency and strong foul-drawing habits, meaning their own scoring chances will pile up even without pushing pace. Both sides feature versatile bigs who pull defenders out of the paint, opening lanes and perimeter space that should fuel consistent scoring.

With playoff seeding still in play, expect starters to log heavy minutes and both coaches to ride their main weapons. The total sits at a reachable number for two offensively sound teams with differing but complementary strengths. It’s not a lock, but it’s definitely leaning high. A fair B-grade for bettors looking at the over.

Spread Pick - Cavaliers, -5 (-115): B

Cleveland enters this matchup with strong momentum and a rotation that continues to show consistency on both ends of the court. Even with minor health concerns to monitor, their core pieces remain intact, and their defensive profile has proven effective against teams like Indiana that rely heavily on quick decision-making and perimeter movement. The road spread is modest, and Cleveland’s recent track record in similar spots supports the favorite status.

On the flip side, Indiana’s recent struggles and thinning wing depth put added pressure on a few primary scorers to carry the load, which could backfire against a defense built to switch, contest, and wear down opponents. With postseason spots already locked in, this game leans more toward maintaining rhythm than desperation, which favors the deeper, more disciplined side. Laying the points earns a solid B grade—dependable, if not flashy.

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