MLB

Reds vs Cardinals

Underdog Red surge aims to clip Redbirds at Busch

Cincinnati Reds

Reds (39-36) VS Cardinals (40-35)

June 21, 2025 | 2:15 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - Cincinnati Reds (+162): B

Cincinnati rides into St. Louis on a two-game skid and catches a Cardinals squad that has won four straight, but are still without key contributors in both the bullpen and outfield. Cincinnati’s starter has kept things tight in past matchups with St. Louis and holds the historical edge, while the Cardinals’ starter enters with a troubling ERA at home. That mound imbalance adds weight to this prediction.

Even without a key bat in the lineup, the Reds’ youthful offence is slugging .485 over the past week and playing with urgency as the division race tightens. A road win would bring both clubs level at the season’s midpoint, and the combination of better form, stronger pitching, and late-inning edge makes the underdog price of +162 too tempting to pass up.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:41

Over/Under Pick - Under 9 (-110): B

Cincinnati enters Busch Stadium trying to stop a two-game slide, while St. Louis looks to extend a four-game rise in what’s quickly becoming a key midseason divisional matchup. Both clubs sit above .500, making every series critical for playoff positioning. Offensively, each side comes in slightly shorthanded—Cincinnati still lacks one of its key outfielders, while St. Louis is managing its catching situation carefully by keeping one of its primary hitters in the DH spot. That slight dip in lineup depth makes run-scoring feel more uncertain.

The real story, though, is on the mound. Cincinnati’s starter has dominated in this ballpark, carrying a decent career ERA into the matchup, while St. Louis counters with a pitcher who’s held Reds hitters to a league average numbers. Combine those arms with a park that already leans pitcher-friendly and a game script that could feature conservative bullpen usage, and betting the Under nine feels sharp.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:41

Spread Pick - Cincinnati Reds, +1.5 (-125): Grade B

Cincinnati enters this weekend’s divisional matchup looking to snap a two-game skid, but the team still holds a valuable edge on the mound. The Reds' starter brings a great ERA this season and has consistently limited St. Louis hitters. While the Cardinals are riding a four-game upswing, the absence of one of their regular starters in the rotation shifts the pitching balance. Even with some lineup pieces missing on both sides, neither team is built to explode offensively in this park, which doesn’t favour the long ball.

With just one game separating these two clubs as they cross the halfway point of the season, expect tighter game management on both ends. Cincinnati’s manager is unlikely to stretch the bullpen unless necessary, and given how well their starter matches up with the heart of St. Louis’s lineup, backing the Reds with a +1.5 run cushion makes sense.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:41

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