MLB

Reds vs Cardinals

Red-hot bats eye a Gateway upset while home ace presses pause

Cincinnati Reds

Reds (39-35) VS Cardinals (38-35)

Jun 20, 2025 | 7:15 p.m. ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - Cincinnati Reds (+115): B

Cincinnati enters this matchup on a 7-3 run, gaining momentum at a key point in the season while St. Louis has won three straight but continues to manage key injuries that weaken its usual bullpen edge. With the home team possibly missing both a late-inning anchor and a key outfielder, the depth advantage typically held by St. Louis feels less secure. Cincinnati sends out a right-hander who has historically handled this opponent’s core bats well, and the back end of their bullpen has been highly effective of late, further levelling the late-game playing field.

Now approaching the season’s halfway mark, both clubs are eyeing every game through a postseason lens. But it’s Cincinnati that appears hungrier, with more urgency and a recent road OPS surge that suggests they’re hitting far better away from home than they did early in the year. Given the even matchup on the mound and the more stable relief corps right now, backing the underdog at plus money looks like a smart angle.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:14

Over/Under Pick - Under 9, (-110): B+

Cincinnati heads into Friday’s matchup looking to keep their good form rolling, while St. Louis rides the confidence of a three-game win streak. Both teams are battling around the wild-card line as they reach the season’s midpoint, and that urgency is likely to shape a tightly managed game. Cincinnati’s lineup remains short-handed, while the Cardinals are still navigating around injury limitations of their own. On the mound, each starter brings a strong track record into the matchup, with Cincinnati’s arm showing consistent command at this ballpark and St. Louis countering with a pitcher who has historically excelled against his former club.

With playoff implications already starting to shape strategy, both managers are expected to use their bullpens proactively at the first signs of trouble, limiting the likelihood of extended scoring swings. The starting matchup leans toward control, and neither lineup looks likely to stretch the total early. In a game forecasted to run tight and quick, nine runs appears a touch high.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:14

Spread Pick - St. Louis Cardinals, -1.5 (-158): B

St. Louis enters Friday’s matchup on a three-game win streak and draws a Cincinnati team still navigating key injuries and recent inconsistency, despite their great run of form. The Reds have won seven of their last ten but remain without a key infield piece, which limits their ability to generate runs or prevent them late. St. Louis sends out a starter with a strong history against this opponent, while Cincinnati counters with a high-velocity arm capable of keeping the score close early, but the risk of late-inning breakdowns remains high. Cincinnati’s lineup continues to struggle with strikeout rates in key spots, and that opens the door for bullpen pressure to swing momentum.

Both teams sit just outside the playoff cut line, so stakes are high. But St. Louis holds the advantage in health, matchup history and bullpen reliability, especially at home, where they’ve routinely covered the -1.5 run line in recent contests. Given the form and situational edge, laying the extra run holds steady value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:14

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