MLB

Reds vs Giants

The Giants' early season roar could continue against stumbling Reds

Cincinnati Reds

Reds (3-7) VS GIants (8-1)

April 07, 2025 | 9:45 PM ET | Oracle Park, San Francisco

San Francisco Giants
Moneyline Pick: San Francisco Giants (-150) - Grade: B+

San Francisco is off to a searing start in 2025, riding a four-game win streak with efficient pitching and timely hitting, while Cincinnati has dropped three straight games and shown inconsistencies at the plate. With the Big Red Machine missing key starter Frankie Montas (high-grade lat strain, expected out 6–8 weeks), their rotation is thinned just when they face a Giants team that’s clicking on all cylinders. Logan Webb, dominant at Oracle Park and boasting a career ERA under 2.00 against the Reds, toes the slab for the G-Men. He’ll face off against Hunter Greene, who has electric stuff and has dominated the Giants in the past — allowing zero earned runs and striking out 17 over two previous starts. While it’s early in the season with no playoff pressure yet, the disparity in early momentum, pitching health, and recent head-to-head history leans heavily toward the Giants maintaining their hot streak at home. Grade: B+ — decent return for a team that looks very comfortable right now, but early-season volatility keeps it from an “A”. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 7, (-110) - Grade: B-

Coming off a lopsided 9-2 loss to the Cubs, the Reds limp into San Francisco on a three-game skid, while the red-hot Giants ride a four-game win streak into Oracle Park. The G-Men have been buoyed by stingy pitching, anchored by Logan Webb, who is slated to start and has a 1.50 ERA to begin 2025 — and he tossed eight scoreless innings the last time he saw the Reds. Cincinnati’s bats, while featuring dangerous names like Elly De La Cruz and Christian Encarnacion-Strand, have cooled down considerably, scoring just seven total runs over their last three games. Adding to the Reds’ woes, TJ Friedl remains sidelined with a right wrist fracture, thinning their outfield depth. Oracle Park's cavernous dimensions and cool April nights don’t help the run total either. Though Hunter Greene has struggled with command so far, his velocity can shut down any lineup, and if he finds the zone, San Francisco’s modest offense — which has been without LaMonte Wade Jr. due to a left hamstring strain — may not provide enough cushion. With both teams relying heavily on pitching and inconsistent bats, the under feels like a strong lean. The bet gets a B- grade, mostly due to the risk of Greene’s volatility, but given the current number and momentum, there's solid value. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: San Francisco Giants, -1.5 (-155) - Grade: B

Behind the red-hot bat of Thairo Estrada and strong pitching from ace Logan Webb, the Giants are riding a four-game winning streak and appear well-positioned to cover the -1.5 spread against a struggling Cincinnati club. The Reds, losers of three straight, haven't found consistency from their starting rotation—particularly with Hunter Greene underperforming, though he is not currently dealing with any reported shoulder issue or velocity drop. On the flip side, the Giants are not fully healthy, with LaMonte Wade Jr. on the IL due to a left hamstring strain. J.D. Davis, meanwhile, is no longer on the Giants' roster after being claimed off waivers by the Oakland Athletics in March. With the Redlegs still adjusting to several young pieces in their lineup and a lack of bullpen depth, San Francisco’s balanced offense and home dominance should deliver both style and spread. While the -155 odds slightly reduce the value, San Francisco’s early-season form makes this a solid wager. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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