Reds vs Cubs

Chicago enters this matchup with the edge in both form and roster stability, returning home with momentum and avoiding the lineup issues that continue to hinder Cincinnati. The Reds remain without a key bat and are turning to a young starter in a tough road environment. The Cubs counter with a more experienced arm who has handled this opponent well in past meetings. Add in a well-rested bullpen and favorable splits against left-handed pitching, and the setup leans clearly toward the home team.

This is a pick based on balance and timing. Chicago’s current rhythm, combined with Cincinnati’s bullpen struggles away from home, makes the favorite a strong choice. The price reflects that, but with the Cubs’ pitching depth and lineup consistency, there’s enough support to back the straight-up result.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/08/2025 at 10:30am

Solid starting pitching and cooler game conditions set the tone for a more controlled, low-scoring matchup at Wrigley. Both starters bring skillsets that limit big innings—one with ground-ball efficiency, the other with swing-and-miss upside—and each lineup is operating at less than full strength. Add in recent trends that lean toward the under and winds expected to knock down fly balls, and this game has the profile of a tighter, more tactical contest rather than a power-driven shootout.

This prediction rests on rhythm and conditions more than volatility. With playoff pressure starting to build and both bullpens expected to factor in heavily, the Under has solid footing. It's not about a lack of talent—just the setup for fewer offensive fireworks.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/08/2025 at 10:32am

Chicago has consistently capitalized on home-field advantage, and when they win at Wrigley, they often do so with room to spare. Their starter tends to pitch deep into games, keeping late-inning situations favorable and reducing the burden on the bullpen. Cincinnati has struggled in matchups like this—particularly against left-handed starters—and hasn’t found much traction on the road when their key contributors are quiet. If the Cubs can strike early and build a lead before the Reds reach their high-leverage arms, covering the run line becomes a realistic outcome.

This prediction leans on matchup trends and overall structure. Chicago has the pitching edge, the better bullpen setup, and the situational splits to support a multi-run win. The line may carry a bit of juice, but given how the Cubs have closed games at home lately, there’s enough to justify backing the spread.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/08/2025 at 10:34am