MLB

Reds vs Orioles

Birds eye a bounce‑back payday against Big Red Machine

Cincinnati Reds

Reds (9-9) VS Orioles (7-10)

18 Apr 2025 | 7:05 PM ET | Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles
Moneyline Pick ‑ Baltimore Orioles (‑155): B‑

Baltimore enters this matchup with a bit of momentum, while Cincinnati continues to deal with lineup and bullpen absences that have slowed their recent efforts. The Orioles have shown they can handle this particular pitching matchup, and with a rested bullpen ready to support a strong home starter, the late-game edge clearly favors the hosts. Even early in the season, stacking wins can prove important, and Baltimore’s young core has consistently fed off the energy of the home crowd.

Laying the favorite price isn’t cheap, but in this case, it’s justified. The Orioles have the advantage in form, health, and matchup history, giving them a reliable path to cover. If you’re looking for a steady spot to back a team trending upward, Baltimore checks the boxes for a solid, if not flashy, value play.

Over/Under Pick - Under 9, (-110): B

Baltimore hosts Cincinnati in a matchup where both starting pitchers have the tools to keep runs at a premium. The Orioles come in a bit banged up and struggling at the plate, while Cincinnati brings improved pitching form and enters with some quiet momentum. Despite conditions that may slightly favor hitters, recent history and lineup absences suggest a controlled pace early, with both bullpens well-positioned to protect slim leads late.

If you're eyeing the total, the Under makes for a strong consideration here. The combination of two capable starters, underwhelming recent offense from both clubs, and relatively fresh relief arms points toward a low-scoring grind. It might not be a fireworks night at Camden Yards, but it's one where disciplined pitching could comfortably cash the ticket.

Spread Pick - Cincinnati, +1.5 (-155): B

Cincinnati arrives in Baltimore on a short win streak, facing an Orioles squad still dealing with key injuries in both the rotation and bullpen. While Baltimore looks to rebound from recent losses, Cincinnati’s lineup has shown it can handle right-handed pitching and enters with a starter who has had success against the Orioles' core hitters. The absence of Baltimore’s usual late-inning anchor raises questions about how they’ll close out tight games, giving the visitors a potential edge in a close contest.

From a betting angle, taking Cincinnati with the run line (+1.5) offers steady value. The game projects to be competitive, and with Baltimore’s bullpen a bit depleted, the visiting side has a realistic path to keeping it within a run—if not sneaking out a win outright. It’s not a high-risk play, but a smart one if you’re looking to back a team with recent momentum and a favorable pitching history in this matchup.

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