MLB

White Sox vs Mariners

North-west night favors the trident, but value hides in totals.

Chicago White Sox

White Sox (42-70) VS Mariners (60-53)

05 Aug 2025 | 9:40 p.m. ET | T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Seattle Mariners
Moneyline Pick - Seattle Mariners (-250): B

Seattle enters this matchup with both form and urgency on its side, backed by a rotation ace who has thrived at home and a bullpen that has quietly led the American League in efficiency since the break. The Mariners continue to rely on run prevention to stay in the postseason picture, and they’re well-positioned to do just that against a Chicago team that arrives short-handed and leans on an inexperienced arm. With a clear advantage on the mound and in the standings, the prediction tilts toward the home team as the sharper pick.

From a betting angle, this isn’t about chasing a big return—it’s about trusting structure and momentum. Seattle has more to play for, more reliability on the mound, and the type of bullpen that locks things down late. Chicago, by contrast, is working through lineup absences and sending a rookie into a tough environment. Sometimes a pick makes sense even if the price doesn’t jump out, and this feels like one of those spots where the chalk side holds real value.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/08/2025 at 9:38am

Over/Under Pick - Under 7.5 (-120): B-

Seattle’s pitching strength at home, coupled with a park that consistently limits power, sets the stage for a lower-scoring contest. The Mariners’ starter has been especially sharp in his own ballpark, and he’ll face a Chicago lineup that’s struggled to get on base with any consistency in recent weeks. While neither bullpen has been elite, the broader offensive trends point toward a slow-paced game. Seattle’s lineup has also been inconsistent, especially against left-handed pitching, which adds another layer to this Under prediction.

This bet isn’t about dominant offenses—it’s about control on the mound and an environment that doesn’t lend itself to big innings. Chicago hasn’t been able to manufacture many threats lately, and Seattle’s approach tends to lean more conservative when games tighten up. It’s the kind of setup where five or six runs might be enough to settle things. The pick leans Under, with enough historical and current support to feel solid about that call.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/08/2025 at 9:40am

Spread Pick - Seattle Mariners, -1.5 (-110): B-

Seattle’s strength on the mound and Chicago’s ongoing road struggles make the run line a compelling option in this spot. The White Sox have struggled to score lately and haven’t found much success away from home all season, which means even a modest offensive surge by the Mariners could create enough separation. With a dependable starter setting the tone and a fresh late-inning bullpen pairing ready to close it out, the setup favors a multi-run cushion for the home side, supporting the prediction for a cover.

When evaluating this bet, it's really about trust in consistency. Seattle’s pitching staff continues to deliver, while Chicago hasn’t shown signs of breaking out offensively. Even if the Mariners aren’t lighting up the scoreboard, they don’t need to in order to control this game. Given how often the White Sox fall short by more than a run when cast as underdogs, this pick lines up well with current trends and matchup dynamics. The run line still holds value in a lopsided scenario.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/08/2025 at 9:42am

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