MLB

Cubs vs Mets

Queens crowd hopes Citi magic outshines Windy City grit

Chicago Cubs

Cubs (22-16) VS Mets (24-14)

May 09, 2025 | 7:10 p.m. ET | Citi Field, Queens, NY

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-155): B+

New York enters tonight’s matchup riding significant momentum from a recent good run of form, facing a Cubs squad struggling to regain form and dealing with pitching limitations as they manage their rotation carefully. The Mets hold a notable advantage on the mound with a reliable veteran starter who historically suppresses Chicago's offense, while the Cubs send out a veteran right-hander likely to face challenges against New York’s bats. Adding to Chicago’s difficulty, their bullpen comes in fatigued following consecutive extra-inning games, contrasting sharply with the Mets' strong relief performance. Although the price at –155 is somewhat steep, the combination of New York’s superior recent form, bullpen freshness, and home-field advantage provides solid betting value, earning a confident B+ grade.

Honestly, this is a pretty clear spot for the Mets. The Cubs are worn out, the pitching matchup favors New York, and their bullpen is locked in. Laying a bit extra here feels justified.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:44

Over/Under Pick - Under 8 (-110): B

The Cubs enter tonight on a losing streak but still boast strong pitching numbers, led by a veteran starter facing a Mets lineup hampered by injuries and recent struggles against right-handed pitching. Meanwhile, the Mets welcome back their starter from injury to face a depleted Chicago offense that has consistently delivered low-scoring games away from home. With New York’s bullpen thriving recently, cooler weather conditions at Citi Field, and both teams dealing with notable offensive absences, the matchup strongly favors limited scoring. Betting the under at eight runs represents solid value, earning a confident B grade due to pitching dominance and weakened lineups.

Honestly, both offenses seem compromised and the pitching staffs are sharp—this one’s likely a low-scoring grind. Betting the under feels like the right move here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:45  

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, +1.5 (-165): B

Chicago heads into this matchup looking to rebound from a brief slump, matching up evenly with the Mets as both clubs navigate pitching injuries and bullpen fatigue. Although New York comes in hot with recent wins, their struggles against right-handed pitching and recent bullpen inconsistencies raise concerns about comfortably extending leads. Chicago, meanwhile, carries a lineup historically productive against Mets pitching, especially in New York. With both teams' relief corps showing wear from recent extra-inning contests, grabbing the Cubs with a 1.5 run cushion provides meaningful protection, making this bet a solid B selection despite the heavier juice.

Honestly, taking the extra 1.5 buffer with Chicago seems smart as they've had success hitting here, and the Mets rarely pull away easily. Paying a little extra for the cushion looks worth it.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:45

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks