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Moneyline Pick: San Antonio (-160) - B
De'Aaron Fox continues to anchor a surging Spurs squad that as been in free fall since the loss of Victor Wembanyama to a shoulder injury, while Charlotte finds itself desperate to snap its three-game slide. For the Hornets, LaMelo Ball is active and still driving the offense, but Mark Williams remains sidelined, undermining Charlotte’s presence in the paint. Historically, San Antonio has fared well at home against Eastern Conference opponents, and with the visitors searching for answers on both ends of the court, the Spurs’ blend of improving chemistry and interior size makes them an appealing favorite at -160.
Over/Under Pick: Over 230, (+110) - B+
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LaMelo Ball is primed to carry the Charlotte Hornets (16-49) out of their recent losing skid, while the San Antonio Spurs (27-37) look to build on a brief winning surge despite one of their forwards nursing a sore ankle that could limit defensive pressure at the rim. Historically, these squads have produced high-scoring clashes when the Spurs host Eastern Conference opponents, and with only a minor injury sidelining a peripheral rotation piece on the Hornets, both teams should be close to full strength. Banking on a late-game scoring blitz and the Spurs’ elevated offense on their home court, the Over at 230 points appears enticing for a solid payout, earning this wager a B+ grade.
Spread Pick: San Antonio Spurs, -3.5 (-110) - B+
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Keldon Johnson is primed to lead the Spurs, who recently snapped a rough patch with two crucial wins, against a Hornets squad mired in five consecutive losses and missing LaMelo Ball. Charlotte (16-49) has shown resilience but struggled to close out games without its playmaking star, while San Antonio (27-37) appears energized by its improving perimeter defense. The Spurs have often flexed their muscle against Eastern Conference foes over the past few seasons, and with an opportunity to build momentum at home, their -3.5 spread looks inviting. This wager earns a solid B+ for both its likelihood of success and the decent payout it promises if the home-court edge prevails.
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