NBA
Hornets vs Hawks
Will Trae Young lift the Hawks past struggling Hornets?

Charlotte Hornets
Super Hugo (16-48) VS Harry the Hawk (31-34)
March 12, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

Atlanta Hawks

Moneyline Pick: Atlanta Hawks (-355) - Grade: A-
The Atlanta Hawks are comfortably sitting in playoff contention at 31-34 and enter this game having won three straight, while the Charlotte Hornets continue to struggle intensely, dropping six consecutive games to slide further down at 16-48. With star guard LaMelo Ball sidelined due to injury, Charlotte’s offense lacks a true driving force and has consistently fallen short against Eastern Conference foes. On the other side, Trae Young remains healthy and productive, boasting strong historical numbers against the Hornets, notably averaging over 28 points in their last five matchups. Atlanta has also won four of their last five contests against Charlotte dating back to last season—indicating clear dominance in recent head-to-head performance. Given these factors, backing the Hawks on the moneyline offers very strong probability of a return, although the relatively steep odds of -355 limit the potential payout value.
Over/Under Pick: Under 233.5 (-110) - Grade: A-
The Charlotte Hornets are limping toward this matchup with a dismal 16-48 record and a troubling losing streak, their struggles compounded by injuries to key contributors like LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier, severely dampening offensive versatility. Conversely, the Atlanta Hawks, standing at 31-34, arrive having found recent momentum with a modest winning streak, anchored by Trae Young's improved efficiency and solid defensive play from Clint Capela and Dejounte Murray. Historically, matchups between these two Eastern Conference teams have leaned slightly toward more measured offensive outcomes, with recent meetings failing to consistently breach high-scoring expectations. Given the Hornets' depleted offensive firepower and both teams’ recent head-to-head trends favoring lower-scoring contests, anticipate this game to comfortably fall under the 233.5 line. Backing the under holds strong value, earning a confident A- grade.
Spread Pick: Atlanta Hawks, -8 (-110) - A-
Charlotte enters tonight's matchup weighed down by a concerning three-game losing streak, amplifying questions on their capability to halt their season-long downward spiral. Injury woes further diminish Charlotte's prospects, as key scorer LaMelo Ball remains sidelined, significantly limiting offensive firepower. On the other side, Atlanta, currently challenging for playoff positioning with their 31-34 record, rides the confidence of a promising two-game winning streak, bolstered by Trae Young’s consistent offensive execution. Historically, the Hawks have consistently dominated this Southeast Division rivalry, securing seven of their last nine matchups while comfortably covering the spread in four consecutive meetings. Given the current trajectories and the injury-driven absence of the Hornets' best perimeter threat, backing the Hawks at -8 offers excellent value and stands out as a premium ATS wager option tonight.
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