Virginia vs Notre Dame

Virginia enters Tuesday night on a one-game skid after its five-game winning streak was snapped by North Carolina, yet the Cavaliers are still 16-3 overall, 4-1 on the road, and averaging 83.8 points per game behind freshman star Thijs De Ridder, senior guard Malik Thomas, and a deep, healthy rotation. Notre Dame just halted a five-game losing streak with its 68-64 comeback over Boston College but is still 1-5 in its last six, 8-3 at home, and has dropped 11 straight games against ranked opponents, now facing No. 17 Virginia without injured stalwarts Markus Burton and Kebba Njie plus big man Tommy Ahneman — a trio that powered last year’s 74-59 road upset in Charlottesville, including Burton’s 21 points. With the Irish shorthanded and Virginia owning an 18-5 all-time edge in the series, the Cavaliers’ -600 moneyline is highly likely to hit but offers limited upside, so I grade this play a B- for strong win probability but modest return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/01/2026 10:45

Notre Dame’s recent run — a five-game losing streak followed by a 68-64 win over Boston College — has featured shaky defense, with its last five outings totaling 132, 160, 165, 150, and 137 points, while the offense now leans on Jalen Haralson, Braeden Shrewsberry, and high-usage rebounder Carson Towt with Markus Burton sidelined by ankle surgery. Virginia, meanwhile, is averaging 83.8 points with De Ridder, Thomas, and a rotation where eight players have hit at least 13 threes, and three of its last five games have produced totals of 144 or more, including the 85-80 shootout loss to North Carolina that exposed some defensive slippage. Even with Notre Dame down a primary scorer in Burton, the combination of Virginia’s elite efficiency, the Irish’s recent defensive lapses, and both teams’ tendency to reach the mid-70s makes me lean Over 141.5 at -120, which I grade a B- given the solid statistical backing but only average price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/01/2026 10:45

Braeden Shrewsberry and Jalen Haralson headline a Notre Dame squad that, despite enduring a five-game losing streak, is 8-3 at Purcell Pavilion and just showed real resilience by erasing an 11-point halftime deficit against Boston College, even while frontcourt pieces Kebba Njie and Tommy Ahneman and playmaking scorer Markus Burton remain out long term. Virginia has clearly been superior overall — 16-3 with a 4-1 road mark and a versatile attack built around De Ridder’s scoring, Dallin Hall’s table-setting, and Chance Mallory’s bench spark — but the Cavaliers are laying -9.5 in a building where they’re just 3-7 ATS across the last 10 meetings and were hammered 74-59 a year ago when Burton and Shrewsberry combined for 34 points. Given Notre Dame’s strong home profile, its returning contributors from that upset, and Virginia’s occasional defensive drop-offs, I’ll grab Notre Dame +9.5 -120 and grade it a B-, expecting the Irish to stay inside the number even if the Cavaliers control the game. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/01/2026 10:45