North Florida vs Gonzaga

Gonzaga, riding an 8-1 start and coming off a 35-point demolition of Kentucky, looks overwhelmingly likely to extend its one-game win streak at home against a North Florida squad that has stumbled to 2-6 and is 0-3 on the road. With Graham Ike and Braden Huff both averaging around the mid-teens in points and punishing teams inside, plus Adam Miller stretching the floor, the Zags’ talent and depth massively outweigh an Ospreys group led by high-usage guard Kamrin Oriol that already lost by 40 at Florida and 33 at Tennessee. Gonzaga also crushed North Florida 104-63 in their last meeting in Spokane, and with no major injuries reported on either side and this still being early nonconference play rather than a pressure-filled March spot, the only real negative is the negligible return on a -10000 price. This is a strong straight-up lean on Gonzaga to win, but the poor payout keeps it at a B-grade recommendation. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/12/2025 09:40am

North Florida’s up-tempo, three-heavy offense (over 83 points per game with strong perimeter volume) meets a Gonzaga side scoring a blistering 91.1 per night, but the context around this massive spread points me toward the under 165.5. The Zags’ defense is top-tier by efficiency metrics, holding opponents in the mid-60s on average, and they’ve already shown they can completely choke off quality offenses like Kentucky; meanwhile, North Florida’s scoring has cratered into the mid-60s when stepping up to elite defenses on the road. With Gonzaga favored by more than 40 and likely to manage minutes for stars like Ike and Huff ahead of UCLA, a blowout script featuring extended run for bench pieces and a slower, methodical finish could drag the final total below a very inflated number even if both teams start hot. It’s still high-variance because of pace and garbage-time threes, so I’m grading Under 165.5 at B- for a modest edge rather than a smash spot. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/12/2025 09:40am

North Florida, despite its ugly 2-6 record and current one-game skid after the SIUE collapse, has been quietly strong against the number this season and now catches a massive +44.5 head start against a Gonzaga team that’s 7-2 ATS but unlikely to keep its foot fully on the gas for 40 minutes. The Ospreys’ primary creators — Kamrin Oriol, Kent Jackson, and stretch forward Trey Cady — have enough shooting to score in the 70s against most opponents, and in their last trip to Spokane they stayed within 41 points of the Zags in a 104-63 loss, which would cover this number. With Gonzaga’s frontcourt stars Ike and Huff potentially seeing reduced minutes in a sandwich spot before bigger national games, and Mark Few likely to showcase depth options like Davis Fogle and Ismaila Diagne once the result is secure, late-game variance leans slightly toward the large underdog sneaking inside an extreme spread. I’ll take North Florida +44.5 at -118, but given Gonzaga’s top-10 efficiency profile on both ends and blowout upside, this is only a C+ confidence play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/12/2025 09:40am