Georgia vs Florida

Florida’s 6-0 home record against Georgia’s 9-1 surge over its last 10 games frames a moneyline spot where the Gators’ size, experience and venue still tip the scales their way, even with the Bulldogs flying high after Jeremiah Wilkinson’s 31-point SEC opener and a 13-1 overall mark. With no major injuries reported on either side and both rotations intact, Florida can lean on Thomas Haugh’s efficient 17.2 points per game, an elite rebounding core led by Rueben Chinyelu and Alex Condon, and the memory of last season’s dominant home win in this series to steady them after the cold-shooting loss at Missouri. Georgia’s explosive offense and recent upset of Florida in Athens a year ago do add upset equity, but with market-implied win probabilities north of 80% on Florida and limited payout at -600, this is a “safety-first” play that I grade a B for likelihood but only moderate monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:44

Georgia’s 9-1 form over its last 10 and nation-leading 99-plus points per game, combined with Florida’s 80-plus scoring profile and top-tier offensive rebounding, push this matchup toward another up-tempo shootout that justifies a lean to the Over 173.5 despite Florida’s recent three-point slump. With both teams largely healthy and their primary creators in rhythm—Wilkinson and Blue Cain driving Georgia’s attack, Haugh and Xaivian Lee pacing Florida—the pace-and-space profile here looks more like the 170+ totals we saw in last season’s 88–83 Georgia win than the occasional grind, and projection models generally sit in the high 160s to mid-170s. Still, the Gators’ sub-30% three-point clip coming in and the sheer height of this total cap confidence, so Over 173.5 (-125) gets a B-: solid upside in a track-meet script, but vulnerable if Florida’s perimeter woes linger or either coach slows tempo after early foul trouble. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:44

Georgia’s 9-1 stretch and 13-1 overall record, set against Florida’s 6-4 mark over its last 10 and recent road loss, make the Bulldogs +9.5 especially appealing in a game where their hyper-efficient offense and rim protection should keep them within striking distance all night. With no key absences listed, Georgia can roll out its full frontcourt of Somto Cyril and Dylan James to battle Florida’s elite rebounding trio of Chinyelu, Condon and Haugh, and the Bulldogs’ recent head-to-head success—snapping a 12-game series skid with last season’s 88–83 win—suggests Mike White’s group is no longer overwhelmed by the Gators’ physicality. Florida’s strong moneyline profile contrasts with a shakier ATS history and a tendency to let teams hang around when the threes aren’t falling, so grabbing nearly double digits with the hotter offense carries both a respectable hit rate and attractive payoff, earning Georgia +9.5 (-110) a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:44