Florida vs Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt's veteran backcourt of Tyler Tanner and Duke Miles should steady the Commodores at home on the moneyline, even against a surging Florida squad that has won three straight and seven of its last eight behind a ferocious rebounding edge from Alex Condon and Rueben Chinyelu, but with Vandy still 16-1 overall, 9-0 at Memorial Gym, and boasting one of the nation’s most efficient offenses around Tanner and elite shooter Tyler Nickel, the edge stays with the home side despite Florida’s recent 86-75 series win where Condon and Will Richard punished this same matchup and the Gators’ massive plus-15.7 rebounding margin targets the Commodores’ biggest weakness in the frontcourt, all while Vanderbilt continues to navigate the loss of key reserve playmaker Frankie Collins, leaving us willing to lay the roughly -167 price on Vanderbilt’s moneyline but only at a B- grade because the juice is heavy and Florida’s profile as a live underdog keeps the upset door open. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 17/01/2026 09:52

Florida's three-game winning streak has been built more on bullying teams in the paint and on the glass than on perimeter shot-making, and when you pair that with Vanderbilt coming off its first loss after a 16-0 start and its worst shooting night of the season at Texas, the combination of a high total in the low 160s, Florida’s bottom-of-the-power-conference three-point percentage, and both teams allowing around 71–73 points per game makes this number feel a bit rich despite their fast tempos and gaudy scoring averages, especially with the Commodores’ rotation shortened by Frankie Collins’ knee injury and the Gators likely to lean into half-court offensive rebounding and length to slow Vanderbilt’s rhythm, so the lean is to the Under 162.5 at standard juice with a B+ confidence grade, expecting a high-level game that still lands a few possessions shy of such an inflated total. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 17/01/2026 09:52

Alex Condon and Rueben Chinyelu give Florida a frontcourt that can replicate the formula Texas just used to hand Vanderbilt its first loss, hammering the Commodores on the glass and in foul trouble, and when you stack that size and rebounding advantage on top of the Gators’ 7-1 surge over their last eight, strong recent SEC ATS trends on the road, and a favorable series history that includes last season’s 86-75 win where Condon went for 19 points and nine boards and Florida has taken 11 of the last 14 meetings, grabbing the short +2.5 with the underdog looks attractive even in a building where Vanderbilt is 9-0 this year, particularly with the home side still adjusting in the backcourt rotation without versatile guard Frankie Collins and laying points in a matchup that stylistically leans toward a one-possession game, so Florida +2.5 at roughly -105 earns a solid B grade, acknowledging Vanderbilt’s elite guard play and undefeated home mark as the key reasons not to push this higher. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 17/01/2026 09:52