Florida vs Duke

Duke’s unbeaten group, riding an 8-0 start and dominant home margins behind Cameron Boozer’s 22.9 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, looks well-positioned on the moneyline against a Florida team taking its first true road swing after a neutral-court split and only a modest one-game win streak. With both teams largely at or near full strength — Florida’s core of Thomas Haugh, Alex Condon, and Micah Handlogten all active, and Duke’s frontcourt rotation settled — the Blue Devils’ 52% shooting and defensive efficiency at Cameron should eventually wear down the Gators’ size and offensive glass advantage. The price at -360 limits the upside, but the combination of Duke’s current form, home-court edge, and star power versus a still-gelling Florida backcourt earns this play a solid B for reliability with moderate but not spectacular monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/12/2025 09:41am

Florida’s tempo and 85.2 points per game, fueled by elite offensive rebounding from Rueben Chinyelu and versatile scoring from Haugh and Condon, suggest a track meet, but Duke’s ability to hold opponents to 58.8 points while still putting up 91.9 itself hints at a more controlled efficiency battle than a pure shootout. With both frontcourts massive and relatively healthy, there’s a real chance this turns into a physical half-court game where Duke’s defense and Florida’s length trade stops, especially with the Gators adjusting to Cameron noise in their first true road test. Given that some markets opened with a slightly lower total and both defenses are capable of grinding down late possessions, the Under 157.5 at -110 gets a B- as a lean with reasonable edge but plenty of variance if whistles pile up or shooters catch fire. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/12/2025 09:41am

Cameron Boozer may be the best player on the floor, but Florida’s defending-champion core — with Haugh scoring around 18 a night, Condon stretching the floor, and a deep, healthy front line that pounds the glass — gives the Gators enough firepower to stay inside a +7 number even if Duke extends its winning streak. Duke’s recent 80-71 win over Arkansas showed how reliant the Blue Devils can be on Boozer’s bursts and how quickly big leads can shrink late, while Florida’s size and offensive rebounding profile travel well in hostile venues. With some early numbers hanging a slightly steeper Duke favorite than we’re getting now, Florida +7 at standard -110 earns a B: a reasonably strong play that balances Duke’s high win probability with solid underdog value in what projects as a competitive top-10 road test. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/12/2025 09:41am