UConn vs Seton Hall

X UConn’s 12-game winning streak and top-tier efficiency on both ends make the Huskies the rightful moneyline favorite despite their four-game road skid at the Prudential Center and Seton Hall’s own three-game surge. With no injuries listed for UConn and Seton Hall down ACL casualty Jahseem Felton (and still monitoring Patrick Suemnick’s shoulder), the Huskies’ guard trio of Silas Demary Jr., Solo Ball, and breakout shooter Braylon Mullins should have a depth and shot-making edge against a Pirates rotation leaning heavily on Stephon Payne, AJ Staton-McCray, and Elijah Fisher. UConn’s ability to win the glass, generate clean threes, and avoid the late-game meltdowns that have haunted them in Newark points to the visitors finally grinding out a road win, even if the historical matchup narrative keeps the price from being a slam dunk. I like UConn on the moneyline at -275, grading it an A- for win probability but only medium value given the heavy juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 10:00 Sources for this pick: Recent records, streaks, line and venue from national previews and betting breakdowns([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/college-basketball/uconn-vs-seton-hall-prediction-how-to-watch-odds-channel-jan-13?utm_source=openai)), detailed team notes and UConn’s Newark struggles from school and local coverage([uconnhuskies.com](https://uconnhuskies.com/news/2026/1/12/mens-basketball-no-3-uconn-visits-no-25-seton-hall-on-tuesday?utm_source=openai)), and current rosters from ESPN’s college basketball pages.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/roster/_/id/41)) X

X Seton Hall’s rugged, top-10 caliber defense and preference for grinding games in the half court, combined with UConn’s own elite defensive numbers and +16.6 scoring margin built more on stops than pace, point toward another physical Big East rock fight landing below the 130.5 total. While UConn’s recent offensive explosions behind Mullins’ shooting and Demary Jr.’s playmaking raise the ceiling, the Pirates’ shot-blocking, turnover creation, and limited desire to bomb from three should slow possessions and force both sides into contested looks. Historically this series has leaned to the under, especially in Newark, and with both teams still in midseason mode rather than March desperation, there’s less incentive for the kind of extended foul-game that often pushes low numbers over late. I lean to Under 130.5 at -118, grading it a B given the strong defensive profile and matchup history but acknowledging the tight margin for error on such a modest total. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 10:00 Sources for this pick: Tempo, efficiency and margin data from game previews and stat-focused breakdowns([bleachernation.com](https://www.bleachernation.com/how-to-watch/2026/01/13/how-to-watch-uconn-huskies-vs-seton-hall-pirates-live-stream-or-on-tv-3/?utm_source=openai)) plus recent head-to-head totals and the current market number from betting analysis sites.([covers.com](https://www.covers.com/sport/Basketball/ncaab/matchup/367599/injuries?utm_source=openai)) X

X Alex Karaban and UConn have consistently blown out most opponents, but against a surging Seton Hall group that’s 10-6 ATS with a 12–2/13–2 type start and undefeated at home, laying -5.5 on the road in a building where the Huskies have dropped four straight feels aggressive. Even with Felton sidelined, the Pirates’ deep, physical front line (Payne, Rivera, Suemnick if active) and switchable wings like Staton-McCray and Fisher match up well with UConn’s size, and recent Newark meetings have been tight one- or two-possession games that either went to overtime or were decided in the final minute. UConn’s overall ATS mark is more modest, and their road profile suggests they’re more likely to eke out a close win than completely shake a confident Pirates squad fighting for Big East positioning and a protected NCAA seed. I’m taking Seton Hall +5.5 at -115, grading it a B- with decent value tied to home-court edge and series history but real risk if UConn finally solves “The Rock” in emphatic fashion. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 10:00 Sources for this pick: ATS splits, spread range and injury report from betting matchup pages([covers.com](https://www.covers.com/sport/Basketball/ncaab/matchup/367599/injuries?utm_source=openai)), context on UConn’s repeated road failures in Newark from local reporting([ctinsider.com](https://www.ctinsider.com/sports/uconn-mens-basketball/article/newark-prudential-center-seton-hall-uconn-huskies-21290407.php?utm_source=openai)), and Seton Hall’s current roster and recent form from ESPN and conference coverage.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/2550/?utm_source=openai)) X