CBB

Arizona vs BYU

Arizona survives Provo scare in a tight, lower-scoring thriller.

Arizona

Wildcats (7-0-20-0) VS Cougars (5-1-17-2)

January 26, 2026 | 9:00 PM ET | Marriott Center, Provo, Utah

BYU
Moneyline Pick - Arizona (-154): B
Arizona’s 20-0 start, including a seven-game road winning streak, goes up against a BYU group that’s 17-2 overall and perfect at home, setting up one of the most volatile atmospheres Arizona has faced all season. Arizona comes in essentially clean on the injury front, while BYU’s rotation is thinned by season-ending losses for Dawson Baker, Nate Pickens, and others plus depth hits to Jared McGregor and Xavion Staton, putting more pressure on the healthy core. Koa Peat, Brayden Burries and Jaden Bradley headline an attack averaging just under 90 points per game, but they’ll have to outduel AJ Dybantsa, Robert Wright III and Richie Saunders, who fuel BYU’s 86+ points per night and have already built a 21–20 all‑time series that tilts Arizona’s way even as BYU owns a strong 14–5 edge in Provo. Given Arizona’s undefeated profile and cleaner health but acknowledging BYU’s home-court and offensive firepower, I like Arizona on the moneyline at -154, grading this play a **B** for solid win likelihood but only moderate value at the current price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:04
Over/Under Pick - Under 164.5 (-110): B+
AJ Dybantsa and BYU’s offense have helped the Cougars win four of their last five while routinely pushing scores into the 80s and 90s, and Arizona’s perfect season has featured similar fireworks with multiple recent blowouts, so it’s no surprise books have hung a lofty total in the mid‑160s. Even so, BYU’s shorthanded guard and wing rotation plus Arizona’s recent defensive clamps—holding West Virginia and Cincinnati in the low-50s—suggest slightly slower stretches and more half‑court possessions than the raw scoring averages imply. With Arizona sitting around 89.8 points per game and BYU near 86.8, the combined 176+ scoring profile is countered by both defenses allowing roughly 68–70 per night and projection models leaning to the Under on totals in the 163.5–165.5 range in this exact matchup. I’m taking **Under 164.5 -110** and grading it a **B+**, expecting a high-level but slightly more controlled Big 12 game where late-game pressure and tighter rotations shave a few possessions off the track‑meet script. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:04 [espn.com]
Spread Pick - BYU, +2.5 (-120): B
BYU’s 13-0 home mark and a 17-2 overall record make them a dangerous underdog, especially with the Cougars having won four of their last five and historically playing Arizona tight in Provo and Tucson, including last season’s two-possession and one-point thrillers. While Arizona is healthier and deeper—with no listed injuries and a front line of Koa Peat, Motiejus Krivas and Tobe Awaka dominating the glass—BYU’s backcourt and wing injuries mean Kevin Young leans heavily on AJ Dybantsa, Robert Wright III and Richie Saunders, who have still driven an 86+ points‑per‑game offense and kept BYU in the Big 12 title and top‑seed conversation. Market and projection models generally see this as a one-possession game with Arizona a very short road favorite, and that lines up with Arizona’s narrow series edge against a BYU program that has historically overperformed at the Marriott Center against top‑ranked visitors. I’ll grab **BYU +2.5 -120** with the expectation Arizona squeaks out a win or BYU springs the upset, grading this a **B** given the strong home trend but acknowledging the risk of Arizona’s late‑game execution turning it into a three‑to‑five‑point margin. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:04
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