Arizona vs Baylor

Arizona’s 25-2 surge and recent statement win at Houston give them clear moneyline heft against a Baylor team that’s dropped four of its last five and has struggled to finish games, even on its home floor. With Koa Peat and Dwayne Aristode still likely sidelined and Anthony Dell’Orso not at 100%, depth is a mild concern, but Jaden Bradley’s steady playmaking and the interior tandem of Tobe Awaka and Motiejus Krivas have already proven they can bully this Bears front line after sweeping Baylor last season. Factor in Arizona’s push to lock in a No. 1 seed and the gulf in two-way efficiency, and the Wildcats are strong favorites to simply win outright, though the steep -500 price keeps this from elite value territory. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:17

Baylor’s explosive backcourt of Cameron Carr and Tounde Yessoufou can turn games into track meets, but their recent skid and turnover issues, combined with Arizona riding a defense-first identity during this Texas swing, tilt this total toward the Under 154.5. Arizona’s offense has stayed efficient even with Peat and Aristode out and Dell’Orso dinged up, yet those absences shorten the rotation and nudge Tommy Lloyd toward slightly slower, more controlled possessions, especially in a hostile road gym where a win matters more than style points. Given Baylor’s inconsistent shooting against elite defenses and Arizona’s ability to squeeze tempo when protecting a lead, a final score landing in the low 150s or below feels reasonable, though the clash between Arizona’s pace and Baylor’s home desperation keeps this as a higher-variance C+ play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:17

Baylor’s guards, led by Carr and Yessoufou with Caden Powell cleaning the glass, have enough shot-making and home-court juice to hang inside the +8.5 even against an Arizona group that has dominated the Big 12 and just snapped its mini wobble with that huge road win at Houston. While the Wildcats swept Baylor last season behind big nights from Bradley and Awaka, they now walk into Waco on short rest, banged up with Peat and Aristode still out and Dell’Orso less than 100%, and staring ahead at showdowns with Kansas and Iowa State, all of which subtly favors a more competitive, closer-margin outcome. Arizona’s superior depth and defense still make an outright upset unlikely, but a focused Bears side playing for pride at Foster Pavilion is live to keep this within two or three possessions, making Baylor +8.5 a B-grade value side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:17