Texas Tech vs Baylor

Texas Tech rides a three-game winning streak and an 8-2 run over its last 10 into Waco, while Baylor has dropped four of its past five and is still just 1-4 in Big 12 play despite strong individual performances from Cameron Carr and Tounde Yessoufou.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2026/1/19/mens-basketball-no-12-tech-heads-to-waco-for-matchup-against-baylor?utm_source=openai)) The Red Raiders are finally whole again with JT Toppin back from his earlier lower-body issue and on a seven-game double-double tear, whereas Baylor’s frontcourt depth remains thinner with center Juslin Bodo Bodo still having missed time due to injury.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2025/1/25/mens-basketball-player-spotlight-jt-toppin?utm_source=openai)) Tech has taken the last two meetings in this series and now brings the Big 12’s top three-point volume (11.1 makes per game) and a lethal Toppin–Christian Anderson inside-out combo against a Bears defense that was just pounded 42–18 in the paint at Kansas, making the modest -143 moneyline a slight value edge even on the road.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2026/1/19/mens-basketball-no-12-tech-heads-to-waco-for-matchup-against-baylor?utm_source=openai)) With Texas Tech also 12–1 this season when favored in this price range, I’m backing the Red Raiders on the moneyline at -143 with a B+ confidence and value grade.([fanduel.com](https://www.fanduel.com/research/texas-tech-vs-baylor-college-basketball-predictions-odds-picks-best-bets-for-1-20-2026?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:55

Baylor’s uptempo, guard-driven attack with Carr and Yessoufou scoring in double figures every night meets a Texas Tech offense that has hung 88 on Utah and 84 on BYU during its current win streak, suggesting plenty of possessions and shot-making on both sides.([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/cbk/jt-toppin-record-6th-consecutive-doubledouble-as-no-15-texas-tech-beats-utah-8874?utm_source=openai)) With Bodo Bodo still not fully integrated due to earlier injury issues, Baylor often plays smaller lineups that boost pace but weaken rim protection, while Tech spaces the floor with a league-leading 11.1 threes per game and Toppin punishing mismatches inside.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2026/1/19/mens-basketball-no-12-tech-heads-to-waco-for-matchup-against-baylor?utm_source=openai)) Recent Bears games have featured defensive lapses in the lane (like the 42–18 paint disparity at Kansas) and high-scoring second halves, and Texas Tech’s offensive efficiency profile plus Baylor’s home shooting bump make the 155.5 total high but still reachable in a competitive game that should stay in the 160s.([cbssports.com](https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/gametracker/preview/NCAAB_20260120_TXTECH%40BAYLOR?utm_source=openai)) I’ll grade Over 155.5 at -118 as a B pick: solid edge with some variance risk baked in by the elevated number. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:55

JT Toppin and Texas Tech have not only won eight of their last 10 but also covered more consistently on the road than at home over the past two seasons, while Baylor has struggled ATS at Foster Pavilion this year and is 1-4 in league play despite Carr and Yessoufou’s nightly scoring punch.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2026/1/19/mens-basketball-no-12-tech-heads-to-waco-for-matchup-against-baylor?utm_source=openai)) With Tech close to full strength and Toppin’s earlier lower-body injury now firmly behind him, the Red Raiders’ size and depth contrast with a Bears rotation that has already dealt with Bodo Bodo’s absence and still looks vulnerable on the glass and at the rim.([texastech.com](https://texastech.com/news/2025/1/25/mens-basketball-player-spotlight-jt-toppin?utm_source=openai)) Texas Tech has taken the last two in this series and now faces a Baylor squad that was just routed 80–62 at Kansas and has repeatedly faded late in games, so laying the short -1.5 at -125 lines up with my moneyline lean, though the heavier juice and home underdog factor trim this to a B- grade rather than something higher.([cbssports.com](https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/gametracker/preview/NCAAB_20260120_TXTECH%40BAYLOR?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:55