CBB
Texas vs Tennessee
Vols should hold serve at home while Texas keeps it close and the scoreboard humming.

Texas
Longhorns (0-1-9-5) VS Volunteers (0-1-10-4)
January 6, 2026 | 9:00 PM ET | Food City Center at Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville, TN

Tennessee

Moneyline Pick - Tennessee (-700): C+
Tennessee’s combination of an 8-0 home record, a three-game home winning streak, and an elite defense that holds opponents near 65 points per game makes the Vols the justified moneyline side despite coming off a road loss at Arkansas and dealing with frontcourt attrition from Cade Phillips’ season-ending shoulder injury; Texas enters on a one-game skid and just surrendered 101 points in an overtime home loss, and while veterans like Jordan Pope and Tramon Mark have previously pushed Tennessee deep into the second half, the current version of the Vols—with Ja’Kobi Gillespie steering a balanced, efficient offense—has a higher floor, especially in this building, so laying -700 on Tennessee is a high-probability but low-upside position that I’d grade as a C+ choice strictly for parlay anchors or risk-averse bankrolls rather than as a standalone wager. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:58
Over/Under Pick - Over 152.5, (-120): B
Texas’ uptempo attack, averaging close to 88 points with top-30 offensive efficiency, has consistently produced high totals, and their recent 101-98 overtime shootout against Mississippi State underscores how easily Longhorn games can escalate into track meets, while Tennessee pairs a top-tier defense with an offense scoring in the low 80s and just played an 86-75 game at Arkansas, suggesting that when the Vols face comparable athleticism, pace and foul counts can push totals upward; add in both teams’ solid shooting efficiency, Texas’ tendency to give up transition looks, Tennessee’s free-throw volume (even with shaky accuracy), and a head-to-head history that has leaned to the over in recent seasons, and the Over 152.5 at -120 profiles as a solid B-grade play that leverages offensive firepower and late-game foul scoring in what should be a competitive, possession-rich matchup. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:58
Spread Pick - Texas, +10.5 (-120): B+
Jordan Pope and Tramon Mark give Texas the kind of experienced shot-making that has already troubled Tennessee in recent meetings, and with the Longhorns’ offense ranking among the nation’s more efficient units while dropping only three of their last six in mostly competitive fashion, catching +10.5 points feels generous against a Vols squad that, although 8-0 at home and riding a three-game home streak, has a mediocre ATS record, ongoing free-throw issues that make it difficult to close out double-digit margins, and a thinner frontcourt with Cade Phillips sidelined; when you fold in Texas’ recent history of staying within two possessions of Tennessee, the Longhorns’ ability to stretch the floor with Matas Vokietaitis and Dailyn Swain, and the likelihood that a motivated 0-1 SEC team throws its best punch in a marquee road spot, Texas +10.5 at -120 grades out as a B+ value play with a realistic path to a one-possession finish or a late backdoor cover. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 09:58
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