CBB

Texas vs Arkansas

Razorbacks’ high-octane backcourt looks to outrun Texas in Fayetteville.

Texas

Longhorns (9-7-18-11) VS Razorbacks (11-5-21-8)

March 4, 2026 | 8:00 PM ET | Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR

Arkansas
Moneyline Pick - Arkansas (-333): B+
Arkansas brings a 21-8 overall record and just one home loss into Bud Walton, and with Darius Acuff Jr. and Trevon Brazile powering an 88-points-per-game offense against a Texas team that’s only 3-5 on the road and still managing around Lassina Traore’s lingering knee issue, the Razorbacks’ combination of form, depth and one of the SEC’s toughest home-court environments makes them the side to back on the moneyline despite the steep -333 price, which I grade as a B+ pick for its strong win probability but modest payout. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/03/2026 09:00
Over/Under Pick - Over 165.5, (-125): B
Texas and Arkansas are both playing at a blistering tempo, with the Longhorns’ efficient offense regularly pushing into the 80s and the Razorbacks averaging close to 90 while coming off shootouts like their 117-115 double-overtime loss at Alabama and a 99-84 win over Texas A&M, and when you add in Texas’ recent stretch of six wins in eight behind hot hands from Dailyn Swain and Tramon Mark plus Arkansas’ occasionally leaky defense and willingness to run even with a slightly shortened rotation, the ingredients point toward a track meet that nudges past the lofty 165.5 total, so I lean Over at -125 with a B-grade given the high number and some risk that late-game possessions slow if one side builds a cushion. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/03/2026 09:00
Spread Pick - Texas, +6.5 (-110): B+
Dailyn Swain’s breakout as Texas’ primary scorer, supported by veteran creators Tramon Mark and Jordan Pope, gives the Longhorns enough perimeter shot-making to keep this close even in a hostile Bud Walton against Arkansas’ explosive guard trio of Acuff, Meleek Thomas and D.J. Wagner, and with Texas having won six of its last eight and just earned a gritty road win at Texas A&M while the Razorbacks come in 3-2 over their last five, including that exhausting double-overtime loss at Alabama and some reliance on heavy minutes from a banged-up Acuff, I like Texas to stay within +6.5 at -110 and grade this side B+ as Arkansas still projects to win more often than not but doesn’t cover comfortably as reliably as the moneyline price implies. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/03/2026 09:00
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