TCU vs Kansas

Kansas leans on its 5-1 home record and 18-2 dominance over TCU since the Frogs joined the Big 12 to steady confidence in the heavy -400 moneyline, even after its four-game winning streak was snapped at UCF and TCU rolls in on a six-game heater. With Darryn Peterson still on a leg-related minutes restriction and Elmarko Jackson nursing a knee but listed as probable, Bill Self will likely lean on veterans Tre White, Flory Bidunga, and Melvin Council Jr. to pair a 75.8-ppg offense with a 64.6-ppg defense against a TCU group playing its first true road game yet built around in-form scorers David Punch, Micah Robinson, and Xavier Edmonds. Given Kansas’ historic 12-1 home mark vs TCU and its 8-1 record this season when favored, the Jayhawks remain the straight-up side, but the modest payout keeps this at a solid, not elite, B-grade Moneyline play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 10:01. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks))

TCU’s six-game winning streak has been built more on defense than pace, with the Horned Frogs holding opponents to 64.6 points per game and cashing the Under in five of their last six, while Kansas plays to a similar defensive level and sits 4-10 to the Under this season despite averaging 75.8 points. Peterson’s leg issue and likely managed minutes, combined with Jackson’s knee concern, raise the risk that Kansas’ half-court offense bogs down for stretches, especially against a TCU front line that just smothered Baylor behind Punch, Edmonds, and Robinson on the glass and at the rim. Given both teams’ efficiency on the defensive end, TCU’s first true road game, and the market still hanging 139.5 despite clear Under trends on both sides, I’m grading Under 139.5 (-120) as a B: solid edge, but not slam-dunk, with some risk if transition scoring spikes. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 10:01. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks))

TCU’s six-game win streak, 8-6 ATS profile, and 5-0 ATS run in its last five trips to Lawrence push me toward grabbing the Horned Frogs +7.5 (-125) against a Kansas team that just had its momentum checked at UCF and remains highly dependent on the health and usage of Peterson on the perimeter. Punch’s nine straight double-figure outings and the physical tandem of Edmonds and Robinson give TCU enough frontcourt muscle to compete on the glass with Bidunga and White, which matters in a matchup where both teams usually grind out half-court possessions more than blow games open. Kansas is still 9-5 ATS overall and 5-1 at home, and its 12-1 all-time home record vs TCU means there’s real blowout risk if the Jayhawks get hot, but the combination of TCU’s current form, depth of scoring, and recent series covers makes +7.5 at least a B- value play despite the heavy juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/01/2026 10:01. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks))