SMU vs Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s unbeaten run, fueled by Duke Miles and a deep veteran rotation that’s averaging nearly 98 points per game with an 8-0 record and an 8-game winning streak, looks well-positioned to hold serve on its quirky Memorial Gymnasium floor against an SMU squad that’s also 8-0 but stepping up in class after its overtime escape at Mississippi State and two head-to-head wins over older, less talented Commodore rosters earlier this decade. With both teams largely healthy and Vanderbilt’s recent neutral-site wins over quality opponents suggesting a slightly higher ceiling than SMU’s, the -625 moneyline asks a steep price but still profiles as the likeliest outcome; I grade Vanderbilt on the moneyline a B- pick, solid for parlays or heavy favorites portfolios but light on standalone value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:49am

Boopie Miller and Duke Miles headline two offenses that rank among the most explosive in the country, with SMU and Vanderbilt both riding 8-game winning streaks, each scoring in the mid-90s per night on efficient shooting and pushing tempo in recent 80- and 90-point outings against major-conference opponents, which points toward a track meet even if the defenses are a touch better than early-season box scores suggest. The historical series has also produced high totals, including SMU’s 84-72 home win in 2021, and with both backcourts largely healthy (aside from Vanderbilt monitoring Frankie Collins’ recent lower-body issue) and neither side likely to shorten the rotation much in December, the ingredients are there for another fireworks show that can creep past the already-inflated 167.5; I grade Over 167.5 as a C+ pick, high-ceiling but high-variance in a number that’s already been pushed toward each team’s offensive peak. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:49am

SMU’s balanced scoring around Miller, Jaron Pierre Jr., and Corey Washington has carried the Mustangs to an 8-0 start, double-digit average margin, and a gritty overtime road win at Mississippi State, and that combination of form, depth, and recent success against Vanderbilt (2-0 in the last two meetings, including an 84-72 win) suggests they’re live to stay within +10.5 even if Vanderbilt ultimately protects its home winning streak. With both teams entering hot, neither carrying a major new injury concern, and Vanderbilt showing a tendency to let capable opponents hang around in recent neutral-site games despite its gaudy overall scoring margin, the double-digit cushion on SMU accounts for the Memorial Gymnasium edge and ranking gap while still offering room for a competitive loss or backdoor cover; I grade SMU +10.5 as a B pick, offering a better blend of value and probability than laying a big number with the home favorite in an up-tempo matchup. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:49am