CBB

SMU vs Clemson

Clemson protects the home floor while SMU keeps it close.

SMU

Mustangs (1-0-12-2) VS Tigers (2-0-12-3)

January 7, 2026 | 9:00 PM ET | Littlejohn Coliseum, Clemson, SC

Clemson
Moneyline Pick - Clemson (-225): B
Clemson’s unbeaten run at Littlejohn and five-game winning streak, powered by veterans like RJ Godfrey, Nick Davidson and Carter Welling, tilt me toward the Tigers on the moneyline despite SMU’s three-game surge behind Kevin “Boopie” Miller and a 91.5-ppg offense. With Clemson allowing just 65.7 points on 40% opponent shooting and SMU now leaving the comfort of Moody after that 97–83 demolition of UNC, home-court and defensive edges matter more than raw scoring. The injury sheet is relatively clean for both sides, with only Clemson freshman guard Zac Foster ruled out for the year, so continuity in each main rotation plus Clemson’s prior success against SMU under Brad Brownell nudges this toward the favorite, even at a steep -225 price that limits upside. I’m backing Clemson to grind out a home win, grading this moneyline a B for solid but not elite risk-reward. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/01/2026 09:55. ([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/cbk/miller-leads-no-24-smu-against-clemson-after-27point-game?utm_source=openai))
Over/Under Pick - Over 149.5 (-125): B-
SMU’s explosive perimeter trio of Miller, Jaron Pierre Jr. and Corey Washington just hung 97 on North Carolina while the Mustangs lead the ACC at 91.5 points per night on 50.5% shooting, which should force Clemson into a faster, higher-possession game than the Tigers usually prefer. Clemson’s own offense is efficient enough at home to punish an SMU defense allowing over 76 points per game, and with both squads riding multi-game win streaks and entering fresh with no major scoring threats sidelined, this shapes up as more of a shot-making showcase than the rock fights these programs played last season. It’s still early in the schedule—far from the 41-game grind where postseason seeding would slow tempos—so motivation to trade blows in a statement ACC matchup should be high, making the Over 149.5 attractive even at a juiced -125; I’ll grade it a B- given the clash between SMU’s pace and Clemson’s defense. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/01/2026 09:55. ([smumustangs.com](https://smumustangs.com/news/2026/1/6/mens-basketball-no-24-smu-12-2-1-0-acc-visits-clemson-12-3-2-0-wednesday-8pm-ct.aspx))
Spread Pick - SMU, +4.5 (-120): B
Boopie Miller’s ability to create off the bounce and spray to multiple double-figure teammates makes SMU a dangerous underdog getting +4.5, even against Clemson’s rugged half-court defense and 7–0 home mark. The Tigers’ only confirmed loss is depth guard Zac Foster to a knee injury, so their main rotation is intact, but SMU’s balance—five players averaging at least 11 points and strong rebounding from Samet Yigitoglu—gives them more options to withstand Clemson’s physical front line and keep late-game possessions close. Clemson has edged SMU in recent meetings under Brownell and comes in on the longer win streak, yet the Mustangs’ upgraded firepower under Andy Enfield and neutral injury situation narrow that gap enough that I’m comfortable taking the road dog to stay within two or three possessions, grading SMU +4.5 a B as a solid value play that can still cash in a tight Clemson win. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/01/2026 09:55. ([covers.com](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/NCAAB/matchup/367159?utm_source=openai))
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