Northern Colorado vs Texas Tech

Texas Tech rides a 44-game non-conference home winning streak and a perfect 5-0 home mark into this matchup, with JT Toppin (21.8 points, 11.4 boards) and Christian Anderson (19.8 points, 7.6 assists) forming one of the nastiest inside-out duos in the country after already beating Northern Colorado by 25 at home last season when Toppin logged a 15-and-11 double-double against the Bears. Northern Colorado is legitimately hot at 9-1 with a six-game winning streak and an elite trio of Quinn Denker, Brock Wisne, and Zach Bloch powering an 87.4-point, 50.3% shooting offense, but this is a major step up in size and athleticism on the road against a Texas Tech team allowing just 72.3 points per game and historically suffocating mid-major visitors in this building. With no major current injuries reported for either side and Toppin long past the lower-body issue that cost him only the opener, the talent gap, depth and historical 5-0 series edge for Tech make an upset extremely unlikely, yet the -6667 price offers minimal return relative to risk, so I grade Texas Tech Moneyline a solid but not spectacular B pick best suited for parlays or heavy favorites stacks rather than standalone exposure. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/12/2025 09:53am

Northern Colorado’s perimeter-heavy attack, with Denker, Wisne and Bloch driving an 87.4-points-per-game offense on 50.3% shooting and 37.9% from three, points toward an up-and-down, high-possession game that can push this total Over 155.5 even against Texas Tech’s length. The Red Raiders themselves average 81.9 points, lead the Big 12 with 10.9 made threes per game at 37.1% from deep, and let Arkansas drag them into a 93-86 shootout last time out, suggesting they’re willing to run and trade jumpers when opponents can space the floor. With Tech allowing 72.3 points per game and bringing an All-America-level interior force in Toppin plus an aggressive creator in Anderson, and Northern Colorado already playing multiple games in the 80s and 90s, the offensive profiles point toward a combined total in the high 150s or better, though there is some risk that a blowout or cold UNC shooting stretch under Big 12 pressure drags the pace and efficiency down just enough to miss, so I peg Over 155.5 as a lean with reasonable upside and grade it a B- based on decent edge but real variance. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/12/2025 09:53am

Northern Colorado’s experienced core of Denker (17.3 points, 6.1 assists), Wisne (14.3 points, 6.3 rebounds) and Bloch (13.9 points on 53.7% from three) gives the Bears enough shot-making and ball-handling to be attractive catching +23.5, even in a brutal road spot against Toppin, Anderson and a Texas Tech group that hasn’t lost a non-conference home game since 2020. Last year’s 89-64 Red Raider win landed right around this type of number, but this UNC offense is even more efficient now, averaging 87.4 points and 50.3% from the floor, and its ability to bomb threes plus a six-game winning streak suggests it can score enough to avoid a complete collapse, especially with Tech potentially managing minutes ahead of a marquee clash with Duke later in the week. Texas Tech’s superior athletes, 44-game non-conference home streak and 5-0 all-time series edge mean the Red Raiders are still likely to control the game, yet the combination of UNC’s firepower, veteran guard play and classic backdoor-cover script in a large spread spot gives Northern Colorado +23.5 meaningful value, so I grade this as a B pick with a reasonable chance to cash versus a relatively modest -110 price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/12/2025 09:53am