Gonzaga vs Michigan

Michigan’s frontcourt trio of Yaxel Lendeborg, Aday Mara, and Morez Johnson Jr. has steamrolled San Diego State and Auburn in Vegas, extending the Wolverines’ unbeaten run while showcasing a massive rebounding edge and elite transition defense against tournament-level opposition, and even with stretch forward Sam Walters sidelined by an ankle issue, Dusty May’s rotation still looks deeper and more physical than Gonzaga’s around Graham Ike and Braden Huff; add in Michigan’s recent neutral-site dominance, including this week’s +40 tournament point differential and the program’s comfortable 2019 neutral-court win over Gonzaga, and I’m willing to lay the -135 price on a team riding a six-game heater in a building where its confidence is peaking, though the short spread and Gonzaga’s own seven-game streak keep this to a solid but not elite B-grade edge rather than a slam dunk. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 13:08am

Gonzaga’s gaudy early scoring numbers with Graham Ike and Braden Huff leading an attack averaging around the mid-90s per game and Michigan’s own explosive output in Vegas might scream shootout, but with both teams on multi-game winning streaks built on improved half-court defense, strong rim protection from Mara and Johnson, and the natural fatigue of tournament play in a title-game environment, this total sits a touch high relative to how these rosters project once the pace tightens and rotations shorten, especially with Michigan missing a floor-spacing big in Walters and more likely to lean into its size, longer possessions, and defensive glass dominance to control tempo; in a neutral-court championship that still has limited long-term NCAA Tournament implications but plenty of résumé pressure, I slightly favor a game that lands in the mid-150s, making Under 161.5 at -110 a B+ grade for both probability and value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 13:08am

Yaxel Lendeborg’s motor on the glass and Roddy Gayle Jr. and Nimari Burnett’s two-way wing play give Michigan a physical, switchable core that has already overwhelmed high-major opponents in this tournament, and when you pair that with Gonzaga’s reliance on Ike to stay out of foul trouble against Mara and Johnson plus the fact both unbeaten teams are riding significant win streaks into a neutral-site final, grabbing Michigan at +1.5 and standard -110 juice provides a valuable buffer in what profiles as a one- or two-possession contest, especially given market movement toward a near pick’em and the Wolverines’ established success on neutral floors against Gonzaga’s program; with no new major rotation injuries reported beyond Walters and both rosters confirmed via current ESPN listings, I’m comfortable grading Michigan +1.5 (-110) as a B, tilting slightly toward the underdog’s depth and recent form while still respecting Gonzaga’s high offensive ceiling. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 13:08am