Michigan State vs Oregon

Michigan State rolls into Eugene on a four-game win streak while Oregon has dropped four straight, and the gap between a 16-2 Spartans squad and an 8-10 Ducks team explains why the moneyline leans so heavily toward the visitors at -650. With wing Kaleb Glenn already ruled out for the season but covered by a deep rotation featuring Jaxon Kohler, Carson Cooper, and Coen Carr, Michigan State has still built a near +15 scoring margin and strong efficiency, whereas Oregon is battling through offensive inconsistency and now the loss of lead guard Jackson Shelstad after his latest hand setback. Add in that this core—especially Jeremy Fears Jr. and Kohler—already helped knock Oregon out of last year’s Big Ten tournament 74-64, and backing the road favorite on the moneyline is more about banking win probability than hunting value, so Michigan State -650 earns a B grade.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401825458/michigan-st-oregon)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:51

Oregon's recent results, from just 54 points in a grind-it-out win at Maryland to 71 in a home loss to Michigan, show an offense that can sputter badly, and without injured shot-creator Jackson Shelstad their current four-game losing skid has featured long scoring droughts against better defenses. Michigan State, allowing only about 64 points per game while winning four straight, has repeatedly dragged totals into the low 130s despite a 79-points-per-game attack, as its size and depth with Kohler, Cooper, and Carr slow tempo and force opponents into late-clock possessions. Facing a shorthanded Ducks backcourt that leans heavily on Nate Bittle and Kwame Evans Jr. for tough, contested looks, I like this matchup to lean defensive and will take Under 140.5 at -125 with a B grade.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401825458/michigan-st-oregon)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:51

Jaxon Kohler and Jeremy Fears Jr. already hurt Oregon in last March’s 74-64 Big Ten tournament win, and they now pilot a 16-2 Michigan State team that has won four straight by double digits while the Ducks have dropped four in a row, three of those losses coming by 10 or more. Even with Kaleb Glenn sidelined for the year, the Spartans’ 79-64 scoring profile and balanced rotation stack up well against a short-handed Oregon group missing floor general Jackson Shelstad and relying on Bittle and Evans Jr. to carry the load. Given Michigan State’s recent blowout wins and Oregon’s double-digit home loss to Michigan, I’m willing to lay -10.5 at -125 with Michigan State, but the road setting and backdoor-cover risk keep this to a B- grade rather than a stronger endorsement.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401743916/oregon-michigan-st?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/01/2026 09:51