CBB

McNeese vs Michigan

Expect fireworks in Ann Arbor, but not a total runaway.

McNeese

Cowboys (3-1-10-2) VS Wolverines (2-0-11-0)

December 29, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI

Michigan
Moneyline Pick - Michigan (-14286): B-
Michigan’s 11-0 tear, including an 11-game winning streak and a nation-leading scoring margin at home, makes them the clear moneyline side despite the astronomical -14286 price against a McNeese group riding a four-game win streak of its own. With no major current absences among the Wolverines’ core rotation and Yaxel Lendeborg’s early-season hand issue trending toward full strength, Dusty May can still lean on a stacked front line and steady backcourt led by Elliot Cadeau and Nimari Burnett, while McNeese counters with Larry Johnson, Garwey Dual and a veteran backcourt that actually beat Michigan in Ann Arbor two years ago. That prior 87–76 Cowboys upset and McNeese’s recent mid-major rise keep the upset probability non-zero, but Michigan’s depth, size, and consistency on both ends make laying the heavy chalk the safer, if low-value, call, so backing the Wolverines on the moneyline at this number earns only a B- grade for probability but poor payout. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:37
Over/Under Pick - Over 159.5 (-114): B
McNeese’s attacking style and four-game winning streak, built on 88.0 points per game, heavy pressure, and elite turnover creation, meets a Michigan team on an 11-game heater averaging 95.4 points with back-to-back 100+ outings, setting the stage for an offensive showcase that supports an Over 159.5 lean at -114. Both squads appear largely healthy in their primary scoring roles, with Larry Johnson leading the Cowboys and a balanced Wolverines attack featuring Lendeborg inside plus Cadeau and Roddy Gayle Jr. on the perimeter, and their last meeting in 2023 already produced 163 combined points. Michigan’s hyper-efficient shooting and pace at Crisler combined with McNeese’s willingness to run and hunt transition off turnovers suggest sustained scoring, though the risk of a late-game slowdown in a potential blowout keeps this from elite status, making Over 159.5 a solid but not premium B-grade wager. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:37
Spread Pick - McNeese, +24.5 (-114): B
McNeese’s four-game surge and top-50 mid-major profile make +24.5 at -114 attractive against a Michigan group that’s 11-0 with an eye-popping +29.3 average margin but steps up in class here compared with many of its early-season blowouts. With both rotations largely intact and Lendeborg back to heavy minutes alongside Aday Mara, the Wolverines still boast a major size and depth edge, yet McNeese’s experienced core of Johnson, Garwey Dual, Javohn Garcia and DJ Richards — two of whom were key in that 87–76 road upset of Michigan in 2023 — has shown it can compete physically and tactically with high-majors. The Cowboys’ defensive pressure, strong bench scoring and proven ability to stay organized in hostile environments give them multiple paths to land inside this inflated number even in a decisive Michigan win, making McNeese +24.5 a value-leaning B-grade play against a slightly overextended spread. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:37
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