Louisville vs Stanford

Louisville’s two-game winning streak, depth around Ryan Conwell and Sananda Fru, and last season’s sweep of Stanford (including a 20-point win built on suffocating defense) point strongly to the Cardinals handling business on the moneyline even if star freshman creator Mikel Brown Jr. remains limited or out with his back issue, while a Stanford team leaning heavily on freshman gunner Ebuka Okorie and coming off a loss to Notre Dame looks more volatile despite the Maples Pavilion boost; the pick is Louisville to win outright, but the heavy -420 price trims this to an A- grade for combining high likelihood with only modest monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/01/2026 09:37

Stanford’s perimeter-heavy attack led by Okorie and AJ Rohosy, paired with Louisville’s top-tier offense that’s averaging north of 90 points behind Conwell’s shot-making and Brown’s (or Wooley’s, if Brown sits) up-tempo lead-guard play, suggests a fast game where both teams’ season scoring profiles push the combined total well into the 160s despite Louisville’s strong defensive efficiency and last year’s lower-scoring meetings, so I lean to Over 157.5 at -110 with a B grade given the high total, travel factors, and some dependence on how healthy Brown is by tip. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/01/2026 09:37

Stanford’s comfort at home, where it has banked most of its 11-3 start, combined with Okorie’s ability to generate late-clock offense and the memory of last March’s ACC tournament scare when the Cardinal pushed Louisville to a two-point game, makes +8.5 at -110 attractive against a Cards side that may again be without Brown at full strength and is coming off a taxing Bay Area road win at Cal, so while I still expect Louisville to escape with the victory, the pick against the number is Stanford +8.5 with a B+ grade for combining solid value with a realistic path to a one- or two-possession finish. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 02/01/2026 09:37