NJIT vs Louisville

Louisville’s 6-0 start and six-game overall win streak, compared with NJIT’s three-game road losing skid, makes the Cardinals the clear moneyline side, especially with markets hanging a spread around -42.5 and projecting one of the nation’s most efficient offenses (about 95.5 points per game on 47.9% shooting) behind Ryan Conwell and freshman Mikel Brown Jr. while NJIT leans on newcomers like David Bolden and Ari Fulton for scoring. With both teams’ latest notes and previews showing no major rotation-changing injuries, and this being the first-ever meeting between the programs early in the schedule rather than a late-season, playoff-positioning spot, the matchup profile is almost entirely talent and depth driven in Louisville’s favor. Because the true edge is already baked into a moneyline that sits in the neighborhood of -10000 for Louisville, the probability of the Cardinals winning is sky high but the standalone bet has minimal monetary value, so I’d only lean Louisville on the moneyline and grade this play a B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 11:56am

NJIT’s three-game road losing streak has featured offensive droughts (67 points at Cincinnati and 43 at Drexel) that make it hard to see the Highlanders consistently keeping up with Louisville’s fast-paced but now well-scouted attack, even as the Cardinals ride a six-game win streak and routinely push toward the mid-90s behind Conwell and Brown Jr. in a deep, mostly healthy rotation. With no key injuries forcing either coach to shorten the bench, and this still being a non-conference tune-up rather than a high-leverage, game-41 type spot where stars might be pushed heavy minutes, the most likely script is Louisville racing out early, then throttling back with reserves and longer possessions as the margin grows, which historically drags scoring late in blowouts. Given a market total of 155.5 in a game where Louisville’s defense has been holding opponents under 37% from the field and NJIT is shooting barely 38% overall, I slightly favor the Under and would project something closer to the high 140s, making Under 155.5 at standard -110 a B-grade play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 11:56am

NJIT’s backcourt of freshman David Bolden and versatile wing Ari Fulton has at least shown enough shot-making and rebounding to avoid complete collapses, even during this current three-game road skid, while Louisville’s six-game surge and explosive perimeter trio of Brown Jr., Conwell and J’Vonne Hadley has turned the Cardinals into a legitimate top-10 offense that oddsmakers have installed as roughly a -42.5 favorite at home. Both sides appear to be entering without fresh, major rotation injuries after Louisville’s injury-riddled past season and NJIT’s clean recent game notes, and with this being the first-ever meeting and still well before either team approaches a 41-game workload or true postseason ramifications, there’s little incentive for Pat Kelsey to chase style points by riding his starters deep into garbage time. That combination of an enormous number, NJIT’s 5-2 ATS profile, and the likelihood of extended late minutes for Louisville’s bench makes the dog attractive against such a huge spread, so I’ll take NJIT plus the points at +42.5 with a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 11:56am