CBB

Iowa State vs Arizona

Wildcats to claw again in Kansas City as defenses tighten the screws.

Iowa State

Cyclones (12-6-25-6) VS Wildcats (16-2-29-2)

March 13, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO

Arizona
Moneyline Pick - Arizona (-200): B+
Arizona enters this neutral-site rematch on a lengthy winning streak and fresh off that 73-57 home win over Iowa State, where Jaden Bradley and Motiejus Krivas dictated the physical terms and held Milan Momcilovic in check while Tamin Lipsey had to shoulder too much of the Cyclones’ offense. With the Wildcats’ core rotation intact and no major late-season injuries reported on either side, Arizona’s superior size on the glass, more balanced shot creation with Brayden Burries and Koa Peat, and recent Big 12 tournament form give them a real edge even on a fast turnaround in Kansas City, making the hefty juice on the favorite more justifiable than the seductive plus money on the underdog. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:26
Over/Under Pick - Under 143.5, (-108): B
Iowa State’s defense-first identity, combined with Arizona’s willingness to grind in big spots, points toward another relatively controlled scoring environment after their first meeting totaled just 130 points and both teams immediately shifted into tournament-mode intensity. With both starting lineups healthy, Lipsey orchestrating a patient Cyclones attack, and Arizona’s length from Awaka, Krivas, and Peat again bothering Momcilovic and Iowa State’s perimeter shooters, the combination of short rest, neutral-court sightlines at T-Mobile Center, and the stakes of a Big 12 tournament showdown all lean toward a possession-by-possession battle that lands below a fairly inflated 143.5 total. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:26
Spread Pick - Arizona, -4 (-106): B
Jaden Bradley’s ability to control pace and repeatedly attack Iowa State’s guards, as he did in the earlier 16-point win, makes Arizona -4 appealing given the Wildcats’ current multi-game surge and the Cyclones’ more uneven stretch that included those February and early-March losses before their recent bounce-back. With both rotations largely intact and no headline injuries limiting key pieces like Lipsey, Momcilovic, Burries, or Krivas, Arizona’s size and depth on a neutral floor in Kansas City should translate into a sustained advantage on the boards and at the free-throw line, enough to overcome late-game fouling variance and push this margin beyond a single-possession cover. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:26
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