Indiana vs Minnesota

Indiana’s transfer-heavy core, led by Tucker DeVries, Lamar Wilkerson and Tayton Conerway, rides a 7-0 start into Minneapolis and feels well-positioned to extend both the program’s nine-game winning streak over Minnesota and the Gophers’ current three-game slide, even with the Hoosiers still missing a couple of depth pieces while their main rotation stays intact. On the other side, Minnesota is 4-4 overall but 4-0 at home, now forced to reshuffle the backcourt after losing starting point guard Chansey Willis Jr. for the season, which puts even more shot-creation burden on Cade Tyson against an Indiana group that has consistently controlled recent meetings. Given Indiana’s perfect record as a favorite, Minnesota’s struggles against stronger opponents, and the clear talent and depth edge here, I like Indiana to justify the steep -670 moneyline enough to grade this wager an A- for win probability, though the juice keeps it better suited as a parlay anchor than a large straight bet. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:37am

Minnesota’s offense at home has flowed through Cade Tyson’s 22-plus points per game and Jaylen Crocker-Johnson’s work on the glass, and now they host an Indiana team that’s been scoring in the mid-80s with DeVries, Wilkerson and a deep guard rotation pushing tempo and efficiency. Even though the Gophers’ backcourt is thinned by Willis Jr.’s season-ending foot injury, the combination of Indiana’s high-scoring profile, Minnesota’s previous home wins in the 60s and 70s, and season averages that collectively project this matchup several points above 142.5 make the Over at -110 the side I slightly prefer, while acknowledging that a slower-paced Big Ten opener and a short Minnesota rotation introduce enough variance to keep this at a B-grade rather than a top-shelf edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:37am

Indiana’s length and scoring versatility with DeVries, Wilkerson, Reed Bailey and Sam Alexis has produced multiple double-digit wins and a strong early 5-2 ATS mark, but laying -11 on the road in the Big Ten against a Minnesota squad that’s 4-0 in Williams Arena and still capable of riding Tyson’s shot-making to late runs makes this spread more fragile than the moneyline. Minnesota enters on a three-game losing streak and just 2-6 ATS, plus they’re down their starting point guard, which should tilt the ball-handling and defensive-pressure battle toward Indiana in a series the Hoosiers have dominated with nine straight wins and consistent covers, yet the combination of home-court noise, potential officiating swings and backdoor-cover risk has me grading Indiana -11 (-110) only as a B- recommendation rather than something heavier. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:37am