CBB

Georgetown vs St. John's

Red Storm surge at the Garden while Hoyas search for answers.

Georgetown

Hoyas (5-13-13-16) VS Red Storm (16-2-23-6)

March 3, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

St. John's
Moneyline Pick - St. John’s (-2500): B
St. John’s comes in at 23-6 with a 16-2 Big East mark, a 4-1 run over its last five, and a potent attack built around Zuby Ejiofor and Bryce Hopkins, while Georgetown is 13-16, riding a five-game losing streak and now missing leading scorer KJ Lewis (14.9 ppg) for the season, which severely undercuts the Hoyas’ upset equity in a building where the Red Storm have been excellent; combine that with St. John’s roughly +12 scoring margin, a 10-0 run in the series, and meaningful conference-title and seeding stakes still on the line, and backing the heavy favorite on the moneyline is the logical side even if the -2500 price caps the payout, so I grade a St. John’s moneyline play a B for extremely high win probability but limited monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/03/2026 09:21
Over/Under Pick - Under 148.5 (-120): B-
Georgetown’s offense averages 74.6 points but has stalled during its five-game skid and now must replace Lewis’ nearly 15 points per night, facing a St. John’s group that scores 82.6 per game yet allows just 70.8 and has generally tightened defensively in Big East play, especially at Madison Square Garden; factoring in the Hoyas’ reduced shot creation, the Red Storm’s motivation to clean things up after that 72-40 offensive meltdown at UConn, and the realistic chance that a one-sided game in St. John’s favor slows pace and shortens possessions in the final minutes, the ingredients lean slightly toward a total that falls below 148.5, so I’ll take Under 148.5 (-120) with a B- grade given the clash between St. John’s explosive ceiling and Georgetown’s shorthanded, inconsistent scoring. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/03/2026 09:21
Spread Pick - St. John’s, -15.5 (-125): C+
DeShawn Harris-Smith and the rest of the Georgetown backcourt are thrust into larger roles without Lewis just as they run into St. John’s deep, physical front line of Ejiofor, Hopkins and Dillon Mitchell, and that talent gap has shown up repeatedly in a series that the Red Storm have dominated 10-0 straight up with comfortable scoring margins; add in Georgetown’s five straight losses that include a 16-point home defeat to Marquette, St. John’s strong home-court edge at the Garden and roughly +12 average scoring margin over the season, and the setup favors another double-digit Red Storm win, but with the spread inflated to -15.5 (-125) and some backdoor-cover risk if St. John’s empties the bench late, I’ll still lean to St. John’s to cover while grading the bet a C+ to reflect both the blowout potential and the hefty number. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/03/2026 09:21
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