DePaul vs UConn

UConn's 15-1 record, five-game winning streak, and 96.3% ESPN win probability at home against a DePaul squad that’s just 2-3 in league play set up the Huskies as the overwhelming moneyline side at -5000, especially with Solo Ball back from the minor injury that kept him out of their 18-point road win over the Blue Demons in December and Alex Karaban continuing to anchor a top-tier frontcourt. DePaul has stabilized with two straight wins and improved production from CJ Gunn and Layden Blocker, but against a UConn team outscoring opponents by nearly 17 points per game and owning a 22-1 all-time mark in the series, this upset ask is enormous. The price offers minimal return for the risk, so while the probability edge is strong, I grade the UConn moneyline as a B due to limited monetary upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/01/2026 09:49

DePaul's 73.7-points-per-game offense walking into a UConn defense allowing just 63.5 per night, and which has held the Blue Demons to 54 and 61 points in their last two meetings, points toward a grind rather than a track meet despite the Huskies’ occasional explosion like the 103-98 OT win at Providence. UConn still plays largely through its halfcourt execution with Solo Ball, Karaban, and Silas Demary Jr., and in a matchup where the Huskies are nearly 20-point favorites, a likely second-half slowdown and bench-heavy garbage time can drag pace and efficiency down just enough to keep the total under 135.5. Factoring in both teams’ season-long defensive numbers and recent head-to-head scoring patterns, I’m leaning Under 135.5 (-118) with a B+ grade for a solid blend of likelihood and value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/01/2026 09:49

DePaul's mini-surge with back-to-back wins and more consistent shot creation from Gunn and Blocker, combined with competitive recent losses (five at Villanova and 13 at St. John’s) and an 18-point home defeat to UConn in December that still snuck inside this +19.5 number, makes the underdog slightly more appealing than laying nearly 20 with the Huskies. UConn’s five-game heater, dominant scoring margin, and historical 22-1 edge over DePaul absolutely threaten a blowout cover—especially now that Ball is healthy—but big conference spreads can get dicey late when coaches empty benches and shorten possessions. With that mix of clear risk but a lot of cushion and a Blue Demons offense capable of backdoor points, I’ll take DePaul +19.5 (-120) at a modest C+ grade, acknowledging the volatility if UConn’s starters stay on the floor deep into the second half. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/01/2026 09:49