Cincinnati vs Arizona

Arizona rolls into this one on an 18-0 heater with a 10-0 record at McKale, while Cincinnati has steadied itself with back-to-back wins after a rough 1-3 stretch, setting up a classic “red-hot favorite vs. surging underdog” spot. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) With no major new injuries flagged on ESPN’s preview or roster pages for either rotation as of this morning, the handicap leans heavily on form and talent, and that clearly favors the Wildcats’ deep group built around Koa Peat, Jaden Bradley and Tobe Awaka. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) Arizona already handled Cincinnati on the road last season behind Bradley’s clutch scoring, and now brings a 90.6-point offense, 52% shooting, and a 91.4% win probability from ESPN Analytics into its own building against a Bearcats team that’s just 2-3 in Big 12 play. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401827637/cincinnati-arizona)) The price at -1600 is brutal from a value standpoint, so Arizona on the moneyline gets a B grade—extremely likely to hit, but with limited monetary upside if it does. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/01/2026 09:44

Cincinnati’s offense just hung 79 on previously 16-0 Iowa State and 77 on Colorado, while Arizona is leading the Big 12 at 90.6 points per game and averaging 92.3 over its last 10, so both sides bring enough firepower to threaten an inflated total if this stays remotely competitive. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) The Wildcats are unbeaten in 10 straight and the Bearcats have won two in a row, and with no key rotation pieces newly sidelined, there’s a good chance we get full minutes from the main scorers—Peat, Brayden Burries and Motiejus Krivas for Arizona, plus Baba Miller and Day Day Thomas for Cincinnati—against defenses that still allow 69.3 and 66.2 points per night, respectively. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) Last year’s 72-67 grinder in Cincinnati landed well under this number, but Arizona’s tempo and offensive efficiency have taken a leap, and Cincinnati’s increased three-point volume (8.6 makes per game) fits a higher-possession game script in Tucson, pushing me to the Over 153.5 at -120 with a solid but not elite B grade given the blowout-and-slowdown risk. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401827637/cincinnati-arizona)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/01/2026 09:44

Baba Miller anchors a Cincinnati squad riding a two-game win streak and fresh off that 79-70 upset of No. 2 Iowa State, giving the Bearcats a versatile 6'11" forward (13.2 points, 10.8 boards per game) who can at least battle Arizona’s size and help them avoid getting blown out on the glass. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/2132/sort/avgTurnovers?utm_source=openai)) Arizona has been steamrolling everyone—10-0 in its last 10 with multiple home wins by 20+ behind freshmen stars Peat and Burries and veteran rim presence Krivas—but Cincinnati’s recent losses have typically been by single digits, and last season’s 72-67 meeting suggests Wes Miller’s group can scheme to keep this matchup respectable even against superior talent. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) With no headline injuries knocking out core pieces on either side and both teams still shy of the 41-game grind where postseason seeding fully crystallizes, this feels like a classic spot where Arizona wins comfortably yet allows the road dog to sneak inside +13.5 late, good enough for a value-lean on the Bearcats spread at a B- grade due to the obvious blowout downside. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401827637)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/01/2026 09:44