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Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)
Unbeaten RedHawks eye another MAC scalp as Falcons chase upset magic.

Bowling Green
Falcons (7-7-16-11) VS RedHawks (13-0-26-0)
February 20, 2026 | 8:30 PM ET | Millett Hall, Oxford, OH
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Miami (OH)

Moneyline Pick - Miami (OH) (-450): A-
Miami (OH) brings a 26-0 heater into Millett Hall and already owns a 93-83 road win over Bowling Green this season, while the Falcons have been far more up-and-down in MAC play despite flashes like their 77-52 demolition of Ball State and Javontae Campbell’s huge scoring nights. Even with Evan Ipsaro sidelined long term, Luke Skaljac has stabilized the backcourt, and the RedHawks’ balance with Brant Byers and Peter Suder—who combined for 34 points in the December meeting—has consistently overwhelmed league opponents, especially at home where their winning streak is historic. Bowling Green’s senior core of Sam Towns, Campbell and Mayar Wol can keep them competitive, but with Miami’s undefeated run, dominant head-to-head history, and depth advantage, laying the short return on the RedHawks moneyline still grades as a strong, if not spectacular, play at this price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/02/2026 09:08
Over/Under Pick - Over 153.5, (-120): B
Bowling Green’s attack, led by Campbell’s three-level scoring and Towns’ inside-out production, has been piling up points, and these teams already combined for 176 in December, with multiple Falcons recently contributing in the 80-plus range against solid opposition. On the other side, Miami (OH) has been an over machine during its undefeated run, regularly living in the high 80s and 90s behind Byers, Suder and stretch forward Almar Atlason, even after the injury to primary creator Ipsaro forced Skaljac into a larger playmaking load without significantly slowing pace. With Miami’s efficiency, Bowling Green’s willingness to trade buckets, and the RedHawks’ tendency to let opponents hang around just enough to keep starters logging big minutes, the Over 153.5 leans appealing despite the inflated number, though late-game variance and potential foul trouble keep this from elite status. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/02/2026 09:08
Spread Pick - Miami (OH), -8.5 (-118): B
Peter Suder and Miami (OH)’s deep rotation already cleared this number once on the road with that prior 93-83 win, and now the RedHawks return home riding a long winning streak with a double-digit average margin that has seen them cover similar MAC numbers even in tighter contests. Bowling Green, while dangerous thanks to Campbell’s high-usage scoring, Towns’ recent breakout against Miami, and the emergence of wings like Mayar Wol, has shown defensive slippage and uneven stretches that can quickly snowball against a disciplined, physical offense, especially when chasing from behind. With Ipsaro’s absence baked into recent lines, Miami’s improved late-game closing under Skaljac at the point, their strong free-throw shooting, and a raucous Millett Hall home edge, laying -8.5 is a reasonable bet that the RedHawks turn another competitive game into a comfortable cover, though Bowling Green’s scoring punch keeps this at a mid-tier confidence grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/02/2026 09:08
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